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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder will look to wrap up their NBA Playoff series when they face the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4 on Saturday. OKC have beaten the Grizz in all three games in the series and can book their spot in the next round with a win in this match. Let’s get into the prediction.
Everything that could go wrong has for the Memphis Grizzlies in this series, starting with a crushing 51-point defeat in Game 1 , followed by a 19-point loss three days later.
Things started looking up when the series came to Memphis, as they built up a 29-point lead in Game 3, only for disaster to strike, with Ja Morant sustaining an injury.
Following their star guard's exit, the Grizz scored a mere 31 points in the second half of the last match, and OKC came flying back to win by six, taking a 3-0 lead in the process.
While Morant’s injury was significant, the Thunder deserves credit for making the most of it with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander notching up 31 points, while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren combined for 50.
However, there is certainly still room for improvement, as they converted just 45% and 43.3% from the field in the last two games, while going 13 of 38 from the three-point line on Thursday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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8.5 | 1.08 |
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8 | 1.07 |
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8.11 | 1.07 |
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7.4 | 1.11 |
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8.2 | 1.08 |
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Who will win the Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 26/04/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Memphis Grizzlies has a 13.02% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 8.5.
- There is a probability of 86.98% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Memphis Grizzlies with odds of 1.11 at Tonybet.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Thunder have won their last 11 games against this opponent.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in six of their last seven games.
- The Thunder had the best cover rate in the NBA this season at 67.1% (55-27-4 ATS).
- The Thunder only lost eight away games in the regular season.
- The Grizzlies have only covered the spread in six of their last 15 games.
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Our Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Grizzlies looked as though they were on course to pull off an incredible win in Game 3, but once Ja Morant exited the game, it all came crashing down as OKC went into overdrive in the second half.
Reports suggest that Morant was seen on crutches and is unlikely to feature in Game 4, which has caused the line for this match to balloon. However, if the Grizzlies' superstar is confirmed out, it’s tough to make a case for them in this one. Our Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5.
If your team in the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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