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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Miami Predictions
Tomas Machac will begin his 2025 Miami Open campaign in the second round, against Matteo Arnaldi. The two clash for the third time in history and the winner will progress to meet Holger Rune or Reilly Opelka. Follow for our prediction below.
Through a first set tie-breaker, Arnadi went on to beat Wu Yibing in three sets in the first round. Having taken over 2.5 hours to see off Yibing could take a toll on the Italian here.
That win improved his season’s record to 8-6 and the world number 35 will be eying a ninth win of the season. He is making a third appearance here and the second in the main draw.
Machac is also marking a second appearance in the main draw at Miami. Last year he went all the way to the quarter-finals before falling to eventual winner Jannik Sinner. He will be looking to go further this time.
With two straight wins against Arnaldi, he will be confident of at least making it past this stage. His most recent win over Arnaldi was at this event last year, in the fourth round.
The 2-0 win marked a second straight meeting with Arnaldi that ended in a straight-sets win. This will be Machac’s first outing after retiring in the second round against Yosuke Watanuki at Indian Wells.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Tomas Machac Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 1.53 |
|
|
2.4 | 1.53 |
|
|
2.42 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.42 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.55 | 1.54 |
|
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac match is: Tomas Machac to win the opening set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac game on 22/03/2025 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 32.67% chance to win against Tomas Machac according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.6.
- Tomas Machac has a 67.33% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.57 at 1xbet.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 32.67 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | 32.67 % |
| Tomas Machac | 67.33 % |
Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Tomas Machac Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
6 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
15 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
1 Mar 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
28 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
24 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac Key Points
- In his last 10 matches, Machac lost the opening set just once.
- In each of his last five matches, Machac won the opening set.
- Machac won in straight sets the earlier two meetings with Arnaldi.
- Arnaldi won in straight sets just three times in his last 10 matches.
- Four times in his last five matches, Arnaldi dropped at least one set.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Tomas Machac Prediction
After falling at the quarter-finals stage at Miami last year, Tomas Machac will be gunning for a deep run this time. So far the draw favors him, and he should be able to power his way to the third round.
He has dominated earlier meetings with Arnaldi, never dropping a set and barring any fitness issues, he should be able to do well here. The Czech player’s strength is he a fast starter in his matches, which might trouble Arnaldi here. Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Tomas Machac is for Tomas Machac to win the opening set.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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