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Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 40 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
06/04/2025 08:45
ATP 164 France
Richard Gasquet

Prediction :

 

Arnaldi to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions

Frenchman Richard Gasquet is set to step out for the Monte Carlo Masters one last time in 2025. He starts his campaign in the first round, against Matteo Arnaldi. This marks the first ever meeting between the two. We have a prediction for the match below. 

Arnaldi returns to action having taken a break after the Miami Open. In his last match, he lost to Tomas Machac in three sets in the second round. The Italian will be looking to improve on his season’s record, which stands at 8-7. 

It will be his first match on clay since featuring in the Olympics. On this surface, he has four losses in the last five matches.

Gasquet is set to retire later this year, after the French Open. Having competed at the Monte Carlo Masters since 2002, there is an emotional connection he brings along. 

The 38-year-old is a former semi-finalist at this tournament and will hope to go all the way one last time. He isn’t a favorite though. A former French number one, Gasquet hasn’t been regular on the tour as age is also catching up. 

He is coming from a three-set loss at the Tiriac Open at the hands of finalist Flavio Cobolli. Gasquet has featured in nine matches this year, and has a 4-5 record.

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Richard Gasquet Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.29 3.75
1xbet
1.23 4.23
22bet
1.23 4.23
Betobet
1.24 4.26
Betwinner
1.23 4.2
Check all Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet odds
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet match is: Arnaldi to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet game on 06/04/2025 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 65.82% chance to win against Richard Gasquet according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
  • Richard Gasquet has a 34.18% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 4.5 at Tonybet.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 65.82 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Arnaldi65.82 %
Richard Gasquet34.18 %

Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Richard Gasquet Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Yibing Wu

10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

6 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Aleksandar Kovacevic

25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi
Richard Gasquet Last matches
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Richard Gasquet
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

31 Mar 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Botic Van De Zandschulp
1 :  2
Richard Gasquet

20 Feb 2025 - Pau, France

Richard Gasquet
withdraw
Arthur Fery

19 Feb 2025 - Pau, France

Richard Gasquet
2 :  0
Charles Broom

11 Feb 2025 - ATP Marseille

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Richard Gasquet

30 Jan 2025 - ATP Montpellier

Tallon Griekspoor
2 :  1
Richard Gasquet
Compare Matteo Arnaldi and Richard Gasquet with our comparison tool.

Matteo Arnaldi - Richard Gasquet Key Points

  1. Gasquet has lost five of his nine matches this season.
  2. Gasquet won at least one set in his last three matches.
  3. Arnaldi lost at least a set in four of his last five matches.
  4. In each of his last four clay matches, Gasquet won at least a set.
Up to $150 to bet on Matteo Arnaldi - Richard Gasquet! 

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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Prediction

Arnaldi is returning to the clay courts for the first time since featuring in the Olympic Games. He drew an emotional match and is likely to battle two fronts; the fans and his opponent. Having lost at least a set in four of his last five matches, and given the conditions in Monte Carlo, he may struggle a bit. 

Gasquet comes as the underdog here but for the sentiments here, he will surely put up a fight. Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Richard Gasquet is for Arnaldi to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Arnaldi to win in three sets

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Matteo Arnaldi and Richard Gasquet you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Richard Gasquet Prediction
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