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ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 38 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
11 May 2024 05:00
ATP 36 Chile
Nicolás Jarry

Prediction :

Match to go to three sets

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

Nicolas Jarry is the 21st seed for this Italian Open but needs to rediscover his form from earlier in the year. He faces Matteo Arnaldi in round two with the winner facing either wild card Stefano Napolitano or lucky loser Juncheng Shang. All of which means that there are no seeded players standing between Jarry and a place in the last 16 of this outdoor clay court tournament. Jarry is the world number 24 but only 35th in the ATP Live Race. He showed some good form on clay in South America earlier this year. The final was reached in Buenos Aires and the last eight in Santiago. It's not gone so well in Europe with no matches won in three tournaments. His record in the Italian Open isn't stellar either and receiving a first round bye saw him get past that stage in Rome for the first time. He leads Arnaldi 2-0 in previous meetings but this is their first match on clay.

Matteo Arnaldi will have the home support in this match. He's up to 36th in the live rankings and that's only a place below the career-high he achieved at the start of April 2024. He's up to 45th in the Live ATP Race after beating lucky loser Harold Mayot in the first round of this Italian Open. He had to come from a set down to win that match though. Arnaldi has had mixed results on the European clay court tour so far with his best run being a quarter-final in Barcelona and that included knocking out the seeded Sebastian Baez. A win here will see him into the third round in Rome for the first time and we believe this match will go to three sets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Nicolás Jarry Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Ladbrokes
1.65 2.15
NetBet
1.65 2.02
Betwinner
1.74 2.1
LSbet
1.74 2.1
Melbet
1.75 2.08
Betway
2.3 1.6
Unibet
1.88 1.88
Betsson
1.7 2.15
Check all Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry odds
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry game on 11/05/2024 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 48.51% chance to win against Nicolás Jarry according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.3.
  • Nicolás Jarry has a 51.49% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 48.51 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Arnaldi48.51 %
Nicolás Jarry51.49 %

Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Nicolás Jarry Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

9 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Harold Mayot
1 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

27 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

25 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Christopher O'Connell
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

19 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

18 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Marco Trungelliti

16 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi
Nicolás Jarry Last matches
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

27 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Nicolás Jarry
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

17 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Marco Trungelliti
2 :  0
Nicolás Jarry

9 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Nicolás Jarry
0 :  2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

27 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Nicolás Jarry
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Nicolás Jarry

24 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Nicolás Jarry
2 :  1
Thiago Seyboth Wild

Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi

0 %

Nicolás Jarry

100 %

9 Jan 2024 - Adelaide International

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Nicolás Jarry

30 Sep 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Nicolás Jarry

Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolás Jarry Key Points

  1. Both the previous matches between these two players went to three sets.
  2. Arnaldi's last two matches have both gone to a final set.
  3. Four of Arnaldi's last seven matches that didn't include a retirement have seen three sets played.
  4. Jarry's last match on clay went to a final set.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Prediction

Nicolas Jarry has had success on clay but he's not in the best of form at present. He takes on Matteo Arnaldi who struggled to get into this second round and had to go a final set. Both of the previous matches between these two players saw a final set played. Our Matteo Arnaldi v Nicolas Jarry prediction is for the match to have three sets played in it.

Prediction :

Match to go to three sets

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Nicolás Jarry Prediction
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