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ATP - Brisbane International

ATP 37 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
30 Dec 2025 20:00
ATP 24 Australia
Alexei Popyrin

Prediction :

 

Alexei Popyrin to win

 
$150 offered for betting!

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Seventh seed Alexei Popyrin begins his ATP Brisbane International campaign.  In the first round, the Australian takes on unseeded Matteo Arnaldi for a place in the last 16 of this outdoor hard court tournament. Here's our match prediction.

Popyrin is the world number 24 and the winner of this match faces either qualifier Federico Augustin Gomez or unseeded Reilly Opelka in round two. Popyrin is just one place below the career-high that he achieved last August.

He moved up the rankings thanks to his winning the Rogers Cup in Montreal. That was followed up by a run to the last 16 of the US Open which included beating Novak Djokovic. His most recent tournament saw him get to the last 16 of the Paris Masters.

Matteo Arnaldi is ranked 37th but was a career-high 30th in August. The Italian had a disappointing end to last season with three successive defeats. The most recent of those was in his first match in the Paris Masters when being beaten by Holger Rune in the last 64.

He leads Popyrin 2-1 in previous meetings but their last match was in 2023. Popyrin has improved this year and we tip the Australian to win this match and move into round two.

Up to $150 to bet on Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Alexei Popyrin Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
Ladbrokes
2.37 1.53
1xbet
2.42 1.57
22bet
2.42 1.57
Betobet
2.42 1.57
Betwinner
2.42 1.57
LSbet
2.42 1.57
Melbet
2.42 1.57
Tonybet
2.44 1.51
Vbet
2.35 1.57
Betway
2.6 1.5
Unibet
2.35 1.6
Betfair
2.5 1.57
Betsson
2.42 1.55
William Hill
2.38 1.57
Check all Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin odds
Up to $150 to bet on Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin! 

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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin match is: Alexei Popyrin to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin game on 30/12/2024 of the current Brisbane International season:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 50.34% chance to win against Alexei Popyrin according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.6.
  • Alexei Popyrin has a 49.66% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Unibet.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 50.34 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Arnaldi50.34 %
Alexei Popyrin49.66 %

Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Alexei Popyrin Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

29 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Holger Rune

21 Oct 2024 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

David Goffin
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

6 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

4 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Zachary Svajda

25 Sep 2024 - ATP Japan Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

11 Sep 2024 - Davis Cup

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Thiago Monteiro
Alexei Popyrin Last matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

31 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Alexei Popyrin

30 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexei Popyrin
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

29 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexei Popyrin
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

21 Oct 2024 - ATP Vienna

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

8 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

5 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexei Popyrin
2 :  0
Miomir Kecmanovic

Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi

67 %

Alexei Popyrin

33 %

26 Nov 2023 - Davis Cup

Alexei Popyrin
1 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

5 Oct 2023 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexei Popyrin
1 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

29 Jul 2023 - ATP Umag Open

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Alexei Popyrin

Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin Key Points

  1. Popyrin is ranked 13 places above his opponent.
  2. Popyrin won the Rogers Cup this year.
  3. Arnaldi has lost his last three matches.
  4. Arnaldi hasn't won two main draw matches in an ATP tournament since August.
Up to $150 to bet on Matteo Arnaldi - Alexei Popyrin! 

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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction

Alexei Popyrin doesn't have any seeded players between him and the quarter-finals of this Brisbane International. He had a strong final six months of 2024 with good runs at Wimbledon and the US Open and winning the Rogers Cup.

He takes on Matteo Arnaldi who will be wanting a good run here to boost his chances of being seeded at the Australian Open. Recent form has been poor though with three straight losses. Our Alexei Popyrin v Matteo Arnaldi prediction is Alexei Popyrin to win.

Prediction :

 

Alexei Popyrin to win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction
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