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Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Aleksandar Kovacevic makes his third successive Indian Wells appearance and will take on fellow unseeded player Matteo Arnaldi in the first round. The winner of their second career meeting will then play seventh seed Andrey Rublev for a place in the third round. Below is our prediction for this match.
Matteo Arnaldi has returned to Indian Wells after his main draw debut last season. He finished in the second round then.
Arnaldi's slow start to the season could cost him in Palm Springs. The Italian has lost half of his last 10 matches. He is coming off a first-round exit in Acapulco and starts his campaign this week 36th in the live ranking.
Aleksandar Kovacevic lost to Arnaldi in their first career meeting, two seasons ago in Toronto. As he is having a stronger season than Arnaldi, Kovacevic will be confident of tying this series at 1-1.
The American has won 14 times in 20 outings thus far. This impressive form has resulted in a runner-up finish in Montpellier and a challenger title in Oeiras.
Lately, however, Kovacevic has struggled, managing just one win from his last four fixtures. The world number 94 is coming off a qualifying round exit in Acapulco.
Kovacevic has never progressed past the first round at Indian Wells and is seeking to avoid a third successive first-round loss.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Aleksandar Kovacevic Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.62 |
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1.46 | 2.74 |
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1.46 | 2.74 |
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1.46 | 2.81 |
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1.46 | 2.73 |
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1.46 | 2.73 |
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1.46 | 2.73 |
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1.45 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.43 | 2.85 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic match is: Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic game on 05/03/2025 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 52.65% chance to win against Aleksandar Kovacevic according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.46.
- Aleksandar Kovacevic has a 47.35% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 2.85 at Vbet.
Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 52.65 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Matteo Arnaldi | 52.65 % |
Aleksandar Kovacevic | 47.35 % |
Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Form
Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
15 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
14 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
13 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
7 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
6 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
22 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
5 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
2 Feb 2025 - ATP Montpellier
1 Feb 2025 - ATP Montpellier
31 Jan 2025 - ATP Montpellier
Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic Key Points
- Kovacevic has won 14 times in 20 outings this season.
- Arnaldi has lost half of the 10 matches he has contested this season.
- In seven outings on hardcourts, Arnaldi has lost four times.
- Kovacevic has managed almost 120 victories on hardcourts in his career.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction
Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar Kovacevic is that Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the match. Kovacevic has been one of the form players this season and so far has registered 14 victories from 20 outings. He, however, has been static in recent matches and could struggle here against Arnaldi.
The Italian defeated Kovacevic in their only encounter to date and will be a tough draw. He has lacked consistency this season though, and has struggled especially on hardcourts. As he is currently on a two-match losing run, Arnaldi is likely to be pegged back here by Kovacevic.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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