WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
24th seed Marta Kostyuk is in the fourth round of the Madrid Open for the first time. To reach the quarter-finals, Kostyuk must defeat unseeded Anastasia Potapova who has a good record against her. Here's our match prediction.
Kostyuk is up to 31st in the live rankings and on her way to being seeded at Roland Garros. The 22-year-old has only made it to one quarter-final this year. That was in a hard court tournament held in Doha.
On clay, Kostyuk has won one iTF title but that was eight years ago. Her only WTA Tour clay court final was in Stuttgart last year. This is her first singles tournament on this surface in 2025. Wins have come against Emma Raducanu and Veronika Kudermetova but both went to three sets.
Anastasia Potapova has won two of her three previous matches against Kostyuk, but this is their first clay court match. Potapova is 34th in the live rankings so also battling to earn a seeding at Roland Garros.
The Russian has had to win three matches to reach the last 16. Two of them (against Krueger and Kenin) have gone to a final set after Potapova dropped the first. We go for over 21.5 games to be played in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Marta Kostyuk v Anastasia Potapova Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 1.91 |
|
|
1.8 | 1.91 |
|
|
1.85 | 1.85 |
|
|
1.88 | 1.92 |
|
|
1.88 | 1.92 |
|
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Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova Form
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
12 Apr 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
11 Apr 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
24 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
14 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
19 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
14 Mar 2024 - WTA Indian Wells
Marta Kostyuk - Anastasia Potapova Key Points
- The last two matches between these players have seen a tie-break and a couple of 7-5 sets played.
- Four of Potapova's last five matches have had over 21.5 games played in them.
- Over 21.5 games have been played in each of Kostyuk's last three matches.
- A tie-break would help boost our prediction's chances of winning. Potapova has played one in five of her last seven matches.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova Prediction
A match against either Aryna Sabalenka or Peyton Stearns awaits the winner of this match. Both Potapova and Kostyuk have had their struggles on their way to this fourth round in Madrid. They are also hoping to be seeeded for the French Open so this is an important match.
Looking at the statistics, this could well be a long match. A side bet on a tie-break might be profitable. Our main Marta Kostyuk v Anastasia Potapova prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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