WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Sixth seed Jasmine Paolini bids to reach the fourth round in Madrid for the second successive year. Trying to stop her is unseeded Maria Sakkari. The winner takes on either tenth seed Elena Rybakina or 17th-seeded Elina Svitolina. Read our match prediction below.
The Italian has made a good start to this year's clay court season and reached the semi-finals in Stuttgart last week. That included a win over Cori Gauff.
That was the second successive semi-final for the 29-year-old who is now fifth in the live rankings. his week in Madrid, the sixth seed has beaten unseeded Katie Boulter for the loss of just three games.
Maria Sakkari has slipped to 89th in the live rankings. The Greek player has only reached one quarter-final this year. That was in the Linz indoor hard court tournament.but she only needed to win one match to get that far. Only nine of her 22 matches have been won this year.
Before this week, Sakkari had lost two of her three matches played on clay this year. Two matches have been won this week against Wang Xinyu and Magda Linette and without dropping a set. This is the first time she has won two successive main draw matches in 2025.
We tip Paolini to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Maria Sakkari v Jasmine Paolini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 1.36 |
|
|
3.2 | 1.33 |
|
|
3.15 | 1.32 |
|
|
3.24 | 1.35 |
|
|
3.24 | 1.35 |
|
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Who will win the Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini match is: Jasmine Paolini to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini game on 27/04/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Maria Sakkari has a 28.37% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 3.36.
- Jasmine Paolini has a 71.63% probability of winning facing Maria Sakkari ⭐ with odds of 1.36 at Bet365.
Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Maria Sakkari has a 28.37 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | 28.37 % |
| Jasmine Paolini | 71.63 % |
Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Maria Sakkari and Jasmine Paolini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - WTA Rouen
2 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
1 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
22 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
17 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
15 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
27 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Feb 2024 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Paolini is 84 places ahead of Sakkari in the live rankings.
- This is the first time in 2025 that Sakkari has won two successive main draw matches.
- Paolini has reached the semi-finals in her last two tournaments.
- Paolini was the losing finalist at Roland Garros last year.
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Our Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Jasmine Paolini has struggled at times this year but has improved immensely in recent weeks. A semi-final in Miami was followed by a run to the last four on the indoor clay courts of Stuttgart last week. A good start has been made in Madrid with only three games lost against Katie Boulter.
Maria Sakkari has been sliding down the rankings in recent months. There's been a total lack of consistency but some improvement has been seen this week. Our Maria Sakkari v Jasmine Paolini prediction is Jasmine Paolini to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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