WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Iga Swiatek is the defending Madrid Open champion. In the quarter-finals, the second seed faces Madison Keys who is seeded fifth for this outdoor clay court match. Here's our match prediction.
The Pole has not won a singles tournament since being victorious at last year's French Open. This is her second clay court tournament of 2025, the other saw her beaten in the last eight when losing yet again to Jelena Ostapenko.
This WTA 1000 tournament has been a bit of a struggle for Swiatek. Her opening match against Alexandra Eala saw the second seed having to come from a set down to win the match. It was easier against Linda Noskova but again three sets were needed when defeating Diana Shnaider.
Swiatek has won four of her six previous matches against Keys but all three played on clay.
Madison Keys is sixth in the live rankings but second in the WTA Race. The American is also her second clay court tournament of the year.
Only the third round was reached in Charleston but it has gone better in Madrid. Wins have come against Lucia Bronzetti, Anna Kalinskaya and 19th-seeded Donna Vekic. Keys is yet to drop a set so far.
We tip Keys to win a set in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Madison Keys v Iga Swiatek Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 1.3 |
|
|
3.35 | 1.31 |
|
|
3.42 | 1.32 |
|
|
3.42 | 1.32 |
|
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Who will win the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek match is: Madison Keys to win a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek game on 30/04/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Madison Keys has a 38.37% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.5.
- Iga Swiatek has a 61.63% probability of winning facing Madison Keys ⭐ with odds of 1.33 at Betobet.
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Madison Keys has a 38.37 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 38.37 % |
| Iga Swiatek | 61.63 % |
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Form
Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
1 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
23 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
16 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
26 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
23 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
14 May 2024 - WTA Rome
2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Swiatek has lost a set in two of her three matches in this tournament.
- Keys is yet to drop a set so far in Madrid.
- Only two of Swiatek's last six matches have seen her fail to drop a set.
- The last match between these two players went to a final set.
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Our Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
It's still difficult betting on Iga Swiatek matches. The dominance that the Pole has had in the past has gone and even when winning, it's often a bit of a struggle. Two of her three matches so far in this tournament have gone to a final set.
Madison Keys won the first Grand Slam of the year but has had a few injury problems since then. The American has never beaten Swiatek on clay but is yet to drop a set so far in this tournament. Our Madison Keys v Iga Swiatek prediction is Madison Keys to win a set.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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