WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Fifth seed Madison Keys takes on 19th-seeded Donna Vekic in round four of the Madrid Open. Keys reached the semi-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament last year. Time for our match prediction.
Keys has a strange record in this WTA 1000 tournament. Five successive first round matches were lost before a run to the last four in 2024. The American is ranked fifth in the world but down a place in the live rankings.
The 2025 Australian Open winner will hope to repeat that level of success on clay. Three of her four matches played on this surface so far this year have been won. In Madrid, victories have come against Lucia Bronzetti and Anna Kalinskaya, both in straight sets.
Donna Vekic has climbed to 19th in the live rankings and caused an upset in the last round. The Croatian defeated 11th seed Emma Navarro after losing the first set. This is her first time in the last 16 of this tournament.
Vekiic has had success on this surface and was the Olympic silver medalist at Roland Garros last year. In head-to-head matches against Keys, Vekic is 3-1 down and has lost both their clay court matches.
We tip over 19.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Madison Keys v Donna Vekić Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.33 | 3.2 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.34 | 3.27 |
|
|
1.34 | 3.27 |
|
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Who will win the Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić match is: over 19.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić game on 28/04/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Madison Keys has a 73.91% chance to win against Donna Vekić according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.34.
- Donna Vekić has a 26.09% probability of winning facing Madison Keys ⭐ with odds of 3.6 at William Hill.
Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Madison Keys has a 73.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 73.91 % |
| Donna Vekić | 26.09 % |
Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić Form
Madison Keys and Donna Vekić Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
1 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
23 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
21 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
20 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
12 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
10 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
12 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Madison Keys - Donna Vekić Key Points
- Vekic had to go to three sets to win in the last round.
- Keys won her last match in straight sets but 25 games were played.
- Over 19.5 games have been played in the last three Keys v Vekic matches.
- The last three matches between these two players have seen five tie-breaks played.
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Our Madison Keys vs Donna Vekić Prediction
A tight match looks likely between these two seeded players. Looking at their previous matches, a side bet on a tie-break may well prove profitable. Keys has been in good form this week and is the player likely to meet either Iga Swiatek or Diana Shnaider in the next round.
The odds are short though and this won't be an easy match for Keys. Vekic fought back well to get past Emma Navarro in the last round. Our Madison Keys v Donna Vekic prediction is over 19.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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