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USA - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
12 May 2023 22:00
Golden State Warriors

Prediction :

Under 222.5

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Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

 by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions

The LA Lakers will look to close out the series when they host the Golden State Warriors for game six of the NBA Western Conference second round. The seventh-seed Lakers lead the series 3-2 and can advance to a Conference Finals matchup with the Denver Nuggets should they get the victory here. The sixth-place Warriors, meanwhile, will be looking to force a game seven and have a chance to complete a 3-1 comeback. Golden State was able to pull off a 121-106 win in front of their home fans facing elimination in game five, putting an end to a two game losing streak and sending the series back to Los Angeles for a sixth game.

Golden State did what they normally do and won at the Chase Center to extend this series. It’s been a completely different story for the defending champions on the road, however, as the Warriors have suffered an almost inexplicable dropoff in production when playing as the visiting team. The Warriors lost both of their trips to LA in this series so far, suffering a 30-point blowout in game three and losing a close game four by a three-point margin. They’ve put up an anemic 12-34 away record across the regular season and playoffs combined this campaign for a winning percentage of just 26.4%.

The Lakers were almost dealt a bitter blow when it looked like key player Anthony Davis might have to miss out on game six due to the concussion protocol after getting hit with an elbow in the face in game five. However, the 30-year-old is likely going to suit up here and has proven to be the difference this series when he is on top of his game. Davis put up a monster 30 point, 23 rebound performance in game one and three games in this series has put up numbers of at least 23 points and 13 rebounds. Unsurprisingly, those were the three games that the Lakers have won and they’ll need another big-time performance from AD if they are to close this one out.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Form

Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors Last Matches

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

10 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

8 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  101
Golden State Warriors

6 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
127 :  97
Golden State Warriors

4 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
127 :  100
Los Angeles Lakers

2 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
112 :  117
Los Angeles Lakers

28 Apr 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
125 :  85
Memphis Grizzlies
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

8 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  101
Golden State Warriors

6 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
127 :  97
Golden State Warriors

28 Apr 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
125 :  85
Memphis Grizzlies

24 Apr 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
117 :  111
Memphis Grizzlies

22 Apr 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
111 :  101
Memphis Grizzlies

11 Apr 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
108 :  102
Minnesota Timberwolves
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

10 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

4 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
127 :  100
Los Angeles Lakers

2 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
112 :  117
Los Angeles Lakers

26 Apr 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
116 :  99
Los Angeles Lakers

19 Apr 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
103 :  93
Los Angeles Lakers

16 Apr 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
112 :  128
Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors Last matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

10 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

8 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  101
Golden State Warriors

6 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
127 :  97
Golden State Warriors

4 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
127 :  100
Los Angeles Lakers

2 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
112 :  117
Los Angeles Lakers

30 Apr 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
100 :  120
Golden State Warriors
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

10 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

4 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
127 :  100
Los Angeles Lakers

2 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
112 :  117
Los Angeles Lakers

28 Apr 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
99 :  118
Sacramento Kings

23 Apr 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
126 :  125
Sacramento Kings

20 Apr 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
114 :  97
Sacramento Kings
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

8 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  101
Golden State Warriors

6 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
127 :  97
Golden State Warriors

30 Apr 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
100 :  120
Golden State Warriors

26 Apr 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
116 :  123
Golden State Warriors

17 Apr 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
114 :  106
Golden State Warriors

15 Apr 2023 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
126 :  123
Golden State Warriors

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Los Angeles Lakers

67 %

Golden State Warriors

33 %

10 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  106
Los Angeles Lakers

8 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  101
Golden State Warriors

6 May 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
127 :  97
Golden State Warriors

4 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
127 :  100
Los Angeles Lakers

2 May 2023 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
112 :  117
Los Angeles Lakers

5 Mar 2023 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
113 :  105
Golden State Warriors

Players list

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
A. Davis A. Reaves D. Russell D. Schroder L. James
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
S. Curry K. Thompson G. Payton II A. Wiggins D. Green

Substitutes

Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
T. Brown T. Thompson L. Walker IV M. Beasley S. Harrison M. Christie R. Hachimura W. Gabriel J. Vanderbilt
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
J. Green J. Poole M. Moody D. DiVincenzo P. Baldwin Jr. A. Lamb J. Kuminga K. Looney

Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors Key Points

  1. Unders come through at a rate of 62.4% in the NBA Playoffs since the 2020/21 season.
  2. The under is 89-65 in game six of the NBA Playoffs dating back to the 2004/05 season.
  3. The under is 6-5 for the Lakers in the Playoffs this season and 6-6 for the Warriors.
  4. With the Lakers playing as the home favorite this season, the under has come through in 17 of 28 games (60.7%).
  5. The Lakers allowed an average of 112 points per game at home compared to 118.9 on the road this season.

Our Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

We give the edge to the Lakers to close this game out and cover the point spread given how much worse Golden State has been on the road this season. However, backing the under is likely the slightly safer play. History shows that when the pressure ramps up in the games six and seven, teams generally tend to tighten up. This usually results in a slower pace of play as well as increased intensity on defense as well as sometimes poorer shooting numbers. We’re backing that trend to show up again here, especially with the Lakers at home this season where they have proven to be a much better defensive team. Our LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction is for the score to stay under 222.5 points.

Prediction :

Under 222.5

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Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

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