USA - NBA
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions
The LA Lakers will look to close out the series when they host the Golden State Warriors for game six of the NBA Western Conference second round. The seventh-seed Lakers lead the series 3-2 and can advance to a Conference Finals matchup with the Denver Nuggets should they get the victory here. The sixth-place Warriors, meanwhile, will be looking to force a game seven and have a chance to complete a 3-1 comeback. Golden State was able to pull off a 121-106 win in front of their home fans facing elimination in game five, putting an end to a two game losing streak and sending the series back to Los Angeles for a sixth game.
Golden State did what they normally do and won at the Chase Center to extend this series. It’s been a completely different story for the defending champions on the road, however, as the Warriors have suffered an almost inexplicable dropoff in production when playing as the visiting team. The Warriors lost both of their trips to LA in this series so far, suffering a 30-point blowout in game three and losing a close game four by a three-point margin. They’ve put up an anemic 12-34 away record across the regular season and playoffs combined this campaign for a winning percentage of just 26.4%.
The Lakers were almost dealt a bitter blow when it looked like key player Anthony Davis might have to miss out on game six due to the concussion protocol after getting hit with an elbow in the face in game five. However, the 30-year-old is likely going to suit up here and has proven to be the difference this series when he is on top of his game. Davis put up a monster 30 point, 23 rebound performance in game one and three games in this series has put up numbers of at least 23 points and 13 rebounds. Unsurprisingly, those were the three games that the Lakers have won and they’ll need another big-time performance from AD if they are to close this one out.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Form
Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 May 2023 - NBA
8 May 2023 - NBA
6 May 2023 - NBA
4 May 2023 - NBA
2 May 2023 - NBA
28 Apr 2023 - NBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
8 May 2023 - NBA
6 May 2023 - NBA
28 Apr 2023 - NBA
24 Apr 2023 - NBA
22 Apr 2023 - NBA
11 Apr 2023 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
10 May 2023 - NBA
4 May 2023 - NBA
2 May 2023 - NBA
26 Apr 2023 - NBA
19 Apr 2023 - NBA
16 Apr 2023 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 May 2023 - NBA
8 May 2023 - NBA
6 May 2023 - NBA
4 May 2023 - NBA
2 May 2023 - NBA
30 Apr 2023 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 May 2023 - NBA
4 May 2023 - NBA
2 May 2023 - NBA
28 Apr 2023 - NBA
23 Apr 2023 - NBA
20 Apr 2023 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
8 May 2023 - NBA
6 May 2023 - NBA
30 Apr 2023 - NBA
26 Apr 2023 - NBA
17 Apr 2023 - NBA
15 Apr 2023 - NBA
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
10 May 2023 - NBA
8 May 2023 - NBA
6 May 2023 - NBA
4 May 2023 - NBA
2 May 2023 - NBA
5 Mar 2023 - NBA
Players list
Substitutes
Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- Unders come through at a rate of 62.4% in the NBA Playoffs since the 2020/21 season.
- The under is 89-65 in game six of the NBA Playoffs dating back to the 2004/05 season.
- The under is 6-5 for the Lakers in the Playoffs this season and 6-6 for the Warriors.
- With the Lakers playing as the home favorite this season, the under has come through in 17 of 28 games (60.7%).
- The Lakers allowed an average of 112 points per game at home compared to 118.9 on the road this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
We give the edge to the Lakers to close this game out and cover the point spread given how much worse Golden State has been on the road this season. However, backing the under is likely the slightly safer play. History shows that when the pressure ramps up in the games six and seven, teams generally tend to tighten up. This usually results in a slower pace of play as well as increased intensity on defense as well as sometimes poorer shooting numbers. We’re backing that trend to show up again here, especially with the Lakers at home this season where they have proven to be a much better defensive team. Our LA Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction is for the score to stay under 222.5 points.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings