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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Miami Predictions
A big clash awaits at the Miami Open when Novak Djokovic and Lorenzo Musetti face off. This will be a fourth round meeting, with the winner setting up a match against Gael Monfils or Sebastian Korda. Read on for our prediction.
This Wednesday meeting represents the ninth meeting between the two players. In the initial eight, Musetti managed just one win – on clay in Monte Carlo back in 2023.
Here in Miami, his wins against Quentin Halys and Felix Auger-Aliassime, both in three sets have improved his record to 7-3.
This is his fifth appearance at Miami and the Italian has matched his best by reaching here. At this Masters event, Musetti has won six of 10 matches.
While Musetti will look at his performances here with pride, they are by far dwarfed by Djokovic’s. The Serbian beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2-0 in the third round, registering his 411th win at Masters level.
No other player has won that much at the same level. The 24-time Grand Slam champion, a former world number one, had also claimed the Miami title six times.
He is gunning for a record breaking seventh. The fourth seed has beaten Musetti in their two hardcourt meetings and seven of eight in total.
This head-to-head advantage should build his confidence, as he brings into this match a 9-4 record.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Novak Djokovic Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.2 | 1.33 |
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3.48 | 1.31 |
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3.48 | 1.31 |
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3.56 | 1.31 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic match is: Djokovic to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic game on 25/03/2025 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 35.17% chance to win against Novak Djokovic according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.75.
- Novak Djokovic has a 64.83% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 1.34 at Betwinner.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 35.17 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Lorenzo Musetti | 35.17 % |
Novak Djokovic | 64.83 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Novak Djokovic Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
15 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
23 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
2 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament
12 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
1 Jun 2024 - ATP French Open
11 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
13 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4 Nov 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters
Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- In the two hardcourt meetings between these two, Djokovic emerged the best.
- Musetti dropped at least a set in each of his last four matches.
- Djokovic has five wins over Musetti in straight sets.
- Musetti lost four times in the last 10 matches.
- Djokovic won seven of his last 10 matches.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Novak Djokovic has had a poor start to 2025, while his 2024 wasn’t great either. On the way to his only title in 2024, the Olympic Games, he beat Musetti in the semis. That was his fourth straight win against the Italian. Djokovic has also won both meetings between these two that were played in hardcourts.
Also, five of his seven wins in this matchup were in straight sets. Having spent close to two hours less on the court further enhances his advantage coming here. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Novak Djokovic is for Djokovic to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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