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ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 17 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
15 May 2023 09:35
ATP 18 USA
Frances Tiafoe

Prediction :

Over 21.5 games

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Tennis Predictions

Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe will square off for the fifth time in their careers when the pair meet in the third round at the Rome Masters on Monday afternoon. Ranked 19th in the world, Musetti comes into this tournament after failing to follow up on his excellent showing in Barcelona at the Madrid Masters last month, where he was surprisingly knocked out in the opening round by qualifier Yannick Hanfmann in straight sets. Musetti had a solid clay court season last year with a record of 21-7, though this year has been notably more challenging, currently with a record of 8-7. Musetti has beaten this opponent twice before, once on clay at the Forli Challenger event in 2020 and then on the hard surface in Acapulco in 2021. The Italian retired hurt in their most recent encounter at the United Cup in January and will be looking for redemption in this one. 

Frances Tiafoe made an incredible start on the clay court this season by winning his first tournament of the year in Houston at the start of last month, overcoming the likes of Jason Kubler and Tomas Martin Etcheverry en route to his third major title. The American is now ranked 12th in the world and has a positive record of 21-7 for the year and 6-2 on the clay. Since that tournament in Houston, though, Tiafoe has struggled to follow up, suffering a first-round exit in Barcelona and a second-round disappointment at the Madrid Masters against Pedro Cahin. Tiafoe won his opening match here in Rome against qualifier Daniel Altmaier; however, it was far from a convincing win as the American was pushed hard and required three sets to overcome the German. Tiafoe beat this opponent at the Parma Challenger event in 2020 and will be hoping to repeat that result in this one.

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W W W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

14 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

28 Apr 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Yannick Hanfmann
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

22 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

21 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Lorenzo Musetti
withdraw
Jannik Sinner

19 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Jason Kubler
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

14 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner
Frances Tiafoe Last matches
W W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

1 May 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Pedro Cachin
2 :  0
Frances Tiafoe

9 Apr 2023 - ATP Houston

Frances Tiafoe
2 :  0
Gijs Brouwer

8 Apr 2023 - ATP Houston

Frances Tiafoe
2 :  0
Steve Johnson

27 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Frances Tiafoe

18 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Frances Tiafoe

15 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Cameron Norrie
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Lorenzo Musetti - Frances Tiafoe Key Points

  1. Three of Musetti’s last four matches have had over 21.5 games
  2. Four of Tiafoe’s last five matches have had over 21.5 games
  3. Three of the four previous encounters between these players have had over 21.5 games, while Musetti retired in the second set of most recent meeting
  4. Tiafoe’s last five matches have required at least one tiebreak to decide a set
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Despite holding the better world ranking, Frances Tiafoe comes into this one as the underdog. Musetti prefers this surface and, on his home court, is expected to do well in this tournament. However, past match results show that these two are very well-matched and have been very close encounters. We expect something similar in this one. Our Lorenzo Musetti v Frances Tiafoe prediction: Over 21.5 games. 

Prediction :

Over 21.5 games

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction
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