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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Lorenzo Musetti faces qualifier Alibek Kachmazov in the Chengdu Open semi-final. The qualifier began this tournament ranked outside the world's top 250. Can he cause an upset? Here's our match prediction.
It's been a return to form for Lorenzo Musetti this week in China. The world number 19 was in excellent form earlier in the summer, though mainly on clay and grass. This is his first hard court semi-final of the year.
The Italian can move up to 18th in the live rankings if winning this match. In the Live ATP Race, Musetti is 15th and struggling to make it into the end-of-season ATP Tour Finals that are being held in Italy this year.
This week has seen Musetti play two matches so far. He beat unseeded Christopher O'Connell in three sets after losing the first. Another three-setter followed as he defeated fifth seed Adrian Mannarino, this time losing the middle one.
Alibek Kachmazov is having the best week of his tennis career. The world number 252 has risen to a career-high 178th as a result of reaching this semi-final. It's the first time he's been in the world's top 200.
The Russian has spent most of the year playing on lower tours and had to qualify to make it into round one of this ATP Tour hard court tournament. He did that without dropping a set in his two matches.
Those wins took him into the main draw of an ATP Tour event for the first time this year. Wins have come over Aleksandar Kovacevic, Taro Daniel and the third seed Nicolas Jarry, all in straight sets.
We believe his excellent run will come to an end here and tip Musetti to win the match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Alibek Kachmazov Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.25 | 4 |
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1.26 | 3.86 |
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1.26 | 3.86 |
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1.22 | 4.25 |
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1.21 | 4.6 |
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1.26 | 3.8 |
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1.23 | 4.15 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov match is: Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov game on 23/09/2024 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 63.16% chance to win against Alibek Kachmazov according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- Alibek Kachmazov has a 36.84% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 63.16 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Lorenzo Musetti | 63.16 % |
Alibek Kachmazov | 36.84 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Alibek Kachmazov Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
21 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
30 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
20 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
19 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
18 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
17 Sep 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
9 Sep 2024 - ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Sing
Lorenzo Musetti - Alibek Kachmazov Key Points
- Musetti is ranked 233 places above his opponent in the latest rankings.
- This is the first time Kachmazov has reached an ATP Tour semi-final.
- Kachmazov has mainly played on lower tours this year and this is his first ATP Tour main draw in 2024.
- Musetti is 15th in the ATP Live Race, his opponent was in 300th place at the start of this tournament.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alibek Kachmazov Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti has an excellent chance to reach his first ATP Tour hard court final of the year. He was in excellent form in the summer but his form has dipped a bit since returning to hard court tournaments.
Both of his two wins this week have been via three sets. He takes on Russian qualifier Alibeck Kachmazov who has had to win five matches to reach this stage and has not lost a set so far.
It's been a great run but our Lorenzo Musetti v Alibeck Kachmazov prediction is Lorenzo Musetti to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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