ATP - Hong Kong Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Kei Nishikori has been rolling back the years in Hong Kong this week. He takes on fellow unseeded player Cameron Norrie for a place in the Hong Kong Tennis Open semi-finals. Here's our match prediction.
There are no seeds remaining in the top half of the draw for this outdoor hard court tournament. The winner of this match will face either Juncheng Shang or Fabian Marozsan. Kei Nishikori is back in the world's top 100 thanks to this run to the last eight.
He's only just had his 35th birthday and a belated present has been rising to 91st in the live rankings. He won his last tournament, though that was on the Challenger Tour. This week has produced wins over Denis Shapovalov and third seed Karen Khachanov after losing the first set.
Cameron Norrie is also making his way back up the rankings. He's up to 48th now in the live list but was 30 places 12 months ago. Like his opponent, he ended 2024 well with a run to thef final in Metz.
Norrie had his fair share of injuries but usually plays well in the opening weeks of the season. He's had wins over Learner TIen and Lorenzo Sonego (in three sets) to reach this quarter-final. We tip over 21.5 games in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kei Nishikori v Cameron Norrie Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.61 | 2.15 |
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1.74 | 2.12 |
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1.74 | 2.12 |
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1.62 | 2.18 |
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Who will win the Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie match is: over 21.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie game on 03/01/2025 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Kei Nishikori has a 60.57% chance to win against Cameron Norrie according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.74.
- Cameron Norrie has a 39.43% probability of winning facing Kei Nishikori ⭐ with odds of 2.2 at Betway.
Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Kei Nishikori has a 60.57 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Kei Nishikori | 60.57 % |
Cameron Norrie | 39.43 % |
Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie Form
Kei Nishikori and Cameron Norrie Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
31 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open
10 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland
9 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland
8 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland
7 Nov 2024 - Helsinki, Finland
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
30 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open
9 Nov 2024 - Moselle Open
8 Nov 2024 - Moselle Open
7 Nov 2024 - Moselle Open
6 Nov 2024 - Moselle Open
Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie Key Points
- Four of Nishikori's last six matches have had over 21.5 games played.
- Over 21.5 games have been played in six of Nishikori's last eight matches on the ATP Tour.
- There have been two previous matches between these players (both won by Nishikori) and each match had over 21.5 games played.
- Over 21.5 games have been played in five of Norrie's last seven matches.
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Our Kei Nishikori vs Cameron Norrie Prediction
It's been a surprising tournament so far in Hong Kong. There'll be an unseeded player in the final (perhaps even two) and either Nishikori or Norrie might be the one that qualifies. Nishikori was in form at the end of 2024 and is again going well in this tournament.
Cameron Norrie could have played in the United Cup but opted to enter this singles tournament instead. He's also been going well but had to go to three sets in the last round. Our Kei Nishikori v Cameron Norrie prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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