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Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Defending Indian Wells champion Iga Swiatek faces Karolina Muchova for a place in this year's quarter-finals. Swiatek is the second seed for this outdoor hard court tournament with her opponent seeded 15th. Who will reach the last eight? Here's our match prediction.
Next up for the winner of this outdoor hard court match will be either eighth-seeded Qinwen Zheng or 18th seed Marta Kostyuk. Since winning this title last year, Swiatek has won three tournaments but all on clay.
This year has seen her reach only one final. Short work has been made of her two opponents faced so far in this WTA 1000 tournament. Only four games have been lost against Carolina Garcia and Dayana Yastremska, including two 6-0 sets.
Karolina Muchova is playing in this tournament for only the second time. The other appearance was in 2023 when the quarter-finals were reached. Muchova is the world number 15 but up a place in the live rankings.
The Czech has made it to three semi-finals this year, two in outdoor hard court events and is 14th in the Live Race. Muchova has also had two straight sets wins so far in Indian Wells. In previous meetings against Swiatek, the 28-year-old trails Swiatek 3-1 and 2-0 on this surface.
We go for over 18.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Karolina Muchova v Iga Swiatek Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.33 | 1.22 |
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4.2 | 1.2 |
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4.23 | 1.23 |
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4.23 | 1.23 |
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4.44 | 1.21 |
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4.2 | 1.23 |
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4.2 | 1.23 |
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4.2 | 1.23 |
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4.4 | 1.22 |
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4.4 | 1.2 |
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4.25 | 1.22 |
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4.3 | 1.23 |
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4.2 | 1.22 |
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Who will win the Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek match is: over 18.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek game on 11/03/2025 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:
- Karolina Muchova has a 32.64% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 4.44.
- Iga Swiatek has a 67.36% probability of winning facing Karolina Muchova ⭐ with odds of 1.23 at 1xbet.
Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karolina Muchova has a 32.64 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Karolina Muchova | 32.64 % |
Iga Swiatek | 67.36 % |
Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Form
Karolina Muchova and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
21 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
20 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
19 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
18 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
20 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
19 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
18 Feb 2025 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
14 Feb 2025 - WTA Doha
Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
31 Dec 2024 - United Cup
10 Aug 2023 - WTA National Bank Open
10 Jun 2023 - WTA French Open
Karolina Muchova - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Over 18.5 games have been played in all four previous matches between these two players.
- Three of their previous meetings have gone to a final set.
- The last six matches Muchova has played have all had over 18.5 games played in them.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would boost our prediction's chances of success and one has been played in five of Muchova's last seven matches.
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Our Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Iga Swiatek hasn't won a tournament since last year's French Open. While there have been many dominant performances, the Pole has suffered some shock losses in the past 12 months. Could we see the same happen in Indian Wells?
That uncertainty over Swiatek is why we've gone down the number of games to be played route. Swiatek has only lost four games so far in this tournament but she faces her toughest task against a very consistent Karolina Muchova.
Our Iga Swiatek v Karolina Muchova prediction is over 18.5 games to be played.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Karolina Muchova vs. Iga Swiatek game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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