UFC - UFC Fight Night
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UFC Predictions
UFC Fight Night 255 at London’s O2 Arena will see Jordan Vucenic take on Chris Duncan in the lightweight division. “The Epidemic” has a pro record of 13-3-0, while “The Problem” is 12-2-0. Check out our match prediction below.
Jordan Vucenic made his debut in the UFC in August 2024 but his first fight in the organisation ended in defeat, losing by unanimous decision to Guram Kutateladze.
However, don’t let that blip fool you - the Englishman made a name for himself in Cage Warriors where he won the featherweight title by beating James Hendin back in March 2018.
Prior to his bout with Kutateladze, The Epidemic was riding a four-match win-streak, including victories over Adrian Kepa, Simone D'Anna, Brice Picaud and Tiziano Ferranti.
Across his last 10 fights before entering the UFC, Vucenic suffered only a single defeat, which was against Paul Hughes by unanimous decision.
Meanwhile, Chris Duncan got his UFC career underway very impressive, racking up back-to-back victories over Omar Morales and Yanal Ashmouz.
While The Problem saw his early momentum broken in his third match, losing by submission to Manuel Torres, he refused to allow that to keep him down and rebounded superbly with a first-round win over Bolaji Oki in September last year.
In terms of the tale of the tape, Duncan is two years older than his opponent and is a pound heavier. Duncan, on the other hand, has the reach advantage (185cm vs 182cm).
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Jordan Vucenic - Chris Duncan: Form Analysis
Vucenic has an average fight time of 15 minutes, illustrating the level of his cardio and ability to go the distance against anyone he comes up against.
His durability is one of his main assets, while well-planned and placed strikes combined with strong defensive awareness make him a danger from any angle, even on the back foot.
Duncan has an average fight time of a shade over seven minutes and is no stranger to early finishes as we saw in his last bout against Oki when he ended the match 3:44 into round one by Guillotine Choke.
The Scot often tries to overwhelm opponents with his volume of takedown attempts, averaging over three successful takedowns per 15 minutes, which is in total contrast to stand and deliver style.
Based on the stats above stats, this looks like a match where we could see Duncan try to force the fight to the mat, but Vucenic is one of the best takedown defenders in the game and his counter-attacking ability could prove to be the difference.
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Jordan Vucenic & Chris Duncan Squad Analysis
Despite Vucenic’s preference and ability in the stand-up game, he is still more than capable of mixing it up as his win record suggests.
Across his 13 pro victories, The Epidemic has won two matches by knockout, five by decision and six via submission. He also has two first-round finishes to his name.
Duncan’s record is made up of seven knockouts and two submissions, while three fights have gone the distance and to the judges' scorecardcard.
While Duncan does rely heavily on his takedown ability, arguably his greatest strengths lie in his aggressive ground and pound where he lands with 47% accuracy.
Jordan Vucenic - Chris Duncan Key Points
- Jordan Vucenic has only had two fights end in under 1.5 rounds.
- Jordan Vucenic’s only UFC bout went the distance.
- Six of Jordan Vucenic's last 11 pro fights have gone the distance.
- Only three of Chris Duncan’s last nine fights ended in under 1.5 rounds.
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Our Jordan Vucenic vs Chris Duncan Prediction
Heading into this fight, the popular consensus is that Vucenic will do what has worked for him very well in the past, and that is to look to outwork his opponent and aim to take the ascendancy later on.
Duncan will be aware of this and will need to use his elite takedown ability to force the issue, but it feels like his chances of winning this match will come down to whether he can get the stoppage - a tough task against the Brit. Our Jordan Vucenic vs Chris Duncan prediction is over 1.5 rounds.
Jordan Vucenic vs Chris Duncan - Other Interesting Predictions
Jordan Vucenic wins the match
Jordan Vucenic has won three of his last four fights and is the more well-rounded fighter. The Brit has an incredible takedown defence (75%), which could nullify Duncan’s prowess of 3.53 takedowns per 15 minutes.
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Jordan Vucenic vs Chris Duncan match : Frequently asked questions
The UFC fight between Jordan Vucenic and Chris Duncan will take place on March 22 at UFC Fight Night 255.
UFC Fight Night 255 will be staged at the O2 Arena in London, England.
UFC Fight Night 255 will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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