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MMA - UFC n°309

Jon Jones
16 Nov 2024 21:00
Stipe Miocic

Prediction :

Jon Jones wins

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Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC n°309

 by Devesh Jaganath | in MMA Predictions

The main event at the eagerly-awaited UFC 309 will see Jon Jones put his heavyweight title on the line against Stipe Miocic at Madison Square Garden on Sunday morning. 'Bones' has a pro record of 27-1-0 1NC, while 'Stone Cold' is 20-4-0. Let's get into the match prediction. 

This fight has been years in the making, dating back to when Jones won the heavyweight belt and joined an elite group of fighters to win the title in two different weight classes. Miocic was set to be the first match of Jones' title defense but the champion sustained an injury that forced him to withdraw from the bout. 

Miocic has not fought in over three years and last won a pro bout back in 2020, which makes it unsurprising to see him inserted as the clear underdog in the match. Can Stone Cold upset the odds or will Bones mark his return to the Octagon with a victory? Let's get into the key stats. 

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Jon Jones & Stipe Miocic Squad Analysis

Jon Jones, widely considered the greatest fighter in the history of the UFC, earned the heavyweight title back at UFC 285, where he made quick work of Ciryl Gane. 

It is worth noting, though, that victory over Gane was the last time 'Bones' has fought, having sustained an injury in the lead-up to UFC 295, where he was supposed to face Miocic for the title. 

Even at 37, Bones is an exceptional athlete, who possesses a wide range of techniques to dominate opponents in every facet of MMA, and he has a knack for inflicting violence. 

Jones was forced to pull out of this fight due to sustaining a torn pectoral muscle during sparring last year!

That injury required surgery and a lengthy recovery period, while it also meant that the champ has only fought twice in the last five years, making his inactivity a bit of a concern. 

Meanwhile, in his prime, Miocic would have been seen as a proper threat to Jones, but now at the age of 42 and coming off a four-year layoff, there's simply no telling what type of shape 'Stone Cold' will be in. 

Miocic has stayed in shape, being a full-time firefighter in Ohio, but a fighter needs to maintain an extraordinary level of skill to defeat someone like Jones - something nobody has done in the past. 

Still, Miocic's physicality and skill set have served him well in the past, and he undoubtedly has the power to flatter anyone, but it still feels like he will struggle to overcome Jones in this one.

Jon Jones - Stipe Miocic Key Points

  1. Jones has only lost one of his 28 professional bouts and that was via disqualification.
  2. Jones is unbeaten in his last 19 fights.
  3. Jones has the weight and reach advantage.
  4. Miocic is five years older than Jones.
  5. Miocic has not had a professional fight in almost four years.
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Our Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic Prediction

This could very well end up being Miocic's swansong, and while he has the reputation and a puncher's chance of winning, it's tough to make a solid argument for him to overcome Jones. 

Indeed, Jones is also returning from a fairly long layoff, but his skill set is simply superior to Miocic's, and we fancy that he should be able to put an end to this fight well before the final bell. Our Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic prediction: Jon Jones wins!

Prediction :

Jon Jones wins

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Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic - Other Interesting Predictions

Jon Jones to win by TKO

Odds 2.2
Jon Jones has won 10 of his 27 bouts by knockout. Additionally, Miocic is returning to the Octagon after almost four years out.
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Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic match : Frequently asked questions

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic will take place on Sunday, November 17, though the early prelims will start on Saturday at 11:00 p.m.

UFC 309 will be staged at Madison Square Garden in New York City. This is the eighth time that a UFC pay-per-view will be held at this famous venue. 

UFC 309 will be broadcast on TNT Sports Box Office and Discovery+ in the UK at a cost of £19.99. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic Prediction
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