ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Joao Fonseca returned to the Madrid Open with a first-round win to set up a clash against Tommy Paul. The two will be facing off for the first time, with the winner to meet either Reilly Opelka or Karen Khachanov. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Starting off in the first round, Fonseca saw off qualifier Elma Moller in straight sets. He has the chance to test himself against a more superior player in this round. Fonseca will be banking on his clay court experience here.
The Brazilian has lost just once in his seven clay matches this season. Having switched through the tour and challenger events, Fonseca has compiled an impressive 23-5 record
Tommy Paul started as a seeded player at Madrid and had a first-round bye. As he joins the fray, he will hope to rise above his fitness challenges.
The American has already been forced to withdraw from one of his matches this season, in Acapulco. The 11th seed is just returning to action after a two-week break, having last played in Houston.
He was ousted there in the semis by eventual winner Jenson Brooksby. That was his fourth defeat in the last nine matches. This marks Paul’s fifth appearance at the Madrid Masters, and he has only been able to go past the second round once.
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The Best Betting Odds for Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 2.38 |
|
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1.57 | 2.25 |
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1.58 | 2.3 |
|
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1.61 | 2.33 |
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1.61 | 2.33 |
|
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Who will win the Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul match is: Joao Fonseca wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul game on 26/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Joao Fonseca has a 59.7% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.65.
- Tommy Paul has a 40.3% probability of winning facing Joao Fonseca ⭐ with odds of 2.41 at Tonybet.
Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Joao Fonseca has a 59.7 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | 59.7 % |
| Tommy Paul | 40.3 % |
Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul Form
Joao Fonseca and Tommy Paul Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
15 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
2 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
12 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Fonseca has eight wins in his last nine matches.
- Fonseca has already won one title on clay this season.
- Across his last nine matches, Paul suffered four losses.
- In his last seven clay matches, Fonseca suffered just one loss.
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Our Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Joao Fonseca’s season on clay has been superb, and he will hope the magic from the South American swing rubs off in Europe too. In his seven clay matches so far this season, he has claimed six wins. The Brazilian, on a 23-5 record ahead of this match, should be able to cause Tommy Paul a few concerns.
The American has struggled a bit, and as he returns to the court since Houston, he won’t get any friendly welcomes. Our prediction for Joao Fonseca v Tommy Paul is that Joao Fonseca wins the match.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Joao Fonseca vs. Tommy Paul game!
When you place a bet on the match between Joao Fonseca and Tommy Paul you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Joao Fonseca or Tommy Paul , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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