WTA - WTA Charleston Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Jessica Pegula faces unseeded Sofia Kenin in the Charleston Open final. Neither of these players have ever won a WTA clay court tournament. Who will finally win one on Sunday? Here's our match prediction.
Pegula can move up to a career-high equallingthird in the rankings if beating Kenin. Her only other clay court final was reached three years ago when losing in the Madrid Open.
2023 and 2024 saw her play just two clay court tournaments, one here and the other in the Olympic Games. The American has reached this final with two sets being dropped. One against defending champion Danielle Collins and the other in Saturday's semi-final win over Ekaterina Alexandrova.
There have been five previous meetings with Kenin. Pegula leads 3-2 and they are 1-1 on this surface.
Sofia Kenin is also in only her second clay court final. The other was at Roland Garros five years ago. The American was ranked 44th in the last ranking list. Four seeds have been beaten by Kenin this week and all without losing a set.
After beating Belinda Bencic, Daria Kasatkina and Anna Kalinskaya, Kenin beat Amanda Anisimova on Saturday. Kenin led 5-2 in the first set when her opponent retired.
We tip Pegula to win this final with over 20.5 games played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.55 | 2.3 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.33 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.33 |
|
|
1.55 | 2.46 |
|
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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin match is: Jessica Pegula to win and over 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin game on 06/04/2025 of the current WTA Charleston Open season:
- Jessica Pegula has a 66.68% chance to win against Sofia Kenin according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
- Sofia Kenin has a 33.32% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Unibet.
Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 66.68 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 66.68 % |
| Sofia Kenin | 33.32 % |
Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin Form
Jessica Pegula and Sofia Kenin Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
4 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
2 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
29 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
27 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
4 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
2 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
31 Mar 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
20 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
29 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin Key Points
- Pegula leads Kenin 3-2 in previous meetings.
- Pegula was ranked 40 places above Kenin in the last rankings.
- Only four players have earned more ranking points than Pegula this year.
- Pegula has played over 20.5 games in each of her last two matches.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin Prediction
Jessica Pegula has had a successful year and this is her fourth final. One title has already been won and now Pegula has the chance to win her first ever WTA Tour clay court title. Two sets have been lost on her way to this final.
Sofia Kenin has beaten four seeds this week, though her semi-final win came via the retirement of Amanda Anisimova. A side bet on her winning a set may be a winner but Pegula looks in determined mood. Our Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin prediction is Jessica Pegula to win and over 20.5 games.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Jessica Pegula or Sofia Kenin , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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