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Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Second seed Aryna Sabalenka and sixth seed Jessica Pegula, will battle in the final of the 2024 US Open. Their meeting is scheduled for Saturday 7th September. It will be the second time in the space of three weeks that these two in-form players are contesting a WTA tour final.
Before arriving in New York, Sabalenka had overcome Pegula’s challenge to lift the Cincinnati Open. Pegula, who is contesting her first career Grand Slam final, defeated Karolina Muchova in the semi-finals. Sabalenka on her part has advanced to a second successive final at Flushing Meadows.
The two-time Grand Slam champion defeated Emma Navarro to advance to the championship match. Sabalenka has defeated Pegula five times in their seven meetings to date. She is therefore the bookies’ favourite to emerge champion.
In this preview, we will highlight some stats for both Pegula and Sabalenka leading up to the championship match. From that we will offer a prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jessica Pegula v Aryna Sabalenka Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.53 | 1.31 |
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3.53 | 1.31 |
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3.6 | 1.29 |
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|
3.6 | 1.29 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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4 | 1.3 |
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3.55 | 1.32 |
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3.55 | 1.3 |
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|
3.5 | 1.29 |
|
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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka match is: Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka game on 07/09/2024 of the current WTA US Open season:
- Jessica Pegula has a 35.17% chance to win against Aryna Sabalenka according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- Aryna Sabalenka has a 64.83% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 1.32 at Unibet.
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 35.17 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 35.17 % |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 64.83 % |
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Form
Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
4 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
2 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
31 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
29 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
27 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
3 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
1 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open
31 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
28 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
26 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
19 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
31 Oct 2023 - WTA Finals
4 Nov 2022 - WTA Finals
Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka: Form Analysis
Jessica Pegula’s progress takes her to a first-ever final at a major. The American, who has been in excellent form in New York, defeated Karolina Muchova in three sets. She dug deep to come from a set down to seal the victory.
It was the first time in the tournament that she had lost a set. Before arriving in the year’s final, Pegula had never progressed past the quarter-finals at this stage. She had suffered six quarter-final losses, with one being at this event two years ago.
To break the streak, she produced her biggest win of the season, a 2-0 success over world number one Iga Swiatek. Pegula has now won 1300 points by advancing to the championship match. This has enabled her move three places in the live ranking and back up to third.
Though she hasn’t dominated against Sabalenka, Pegula has registered both of her wins in this matchup on hard courts.
Crowd favorite Pegula is looking to win the US Open on her first final appearance.
Aryna Sabalenka is back in the final at Flushing Meadows and fired up for a second Grand Slam title. She finished as runner-up last year and will be determined to not suffer the same fate twice in succession.
To get to the final, the world number two overcame the challenge of American Emma Navarro in straight sets. She has now won 11 successive matches, all on hard courts. This run began in Cincinnati where she saw off Pegula in the final in straight sets.
Coupling this impressive streak with her dominance against the American, Sabalenka has a big opportunity to emerge champion here. It will, however, not be a walk in the park given her struggles in tour finals this season.
Sabalenka, who has dropped just one set in New York, lost three of the five tour finals she has played in 2024.
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Jessica Pegula & Aryna Sabalenka Squad Analysis
Sabalenka is a strong baseline player who possesses a fierce serve and equally powerful groundstrokes. In her most recent victory against Pegula, she capitalized on that, hitting 67% of her first serves and 94% with her second. We should expect to see more of this as she seeks her first US Open title.
The 2024 US Open title match could go down to players' individual strengths.
Pegula, who is seeking her maiden major success, is also a strong baseliner and plays with powerful groundstrokes. She also possesses a strong serve and in her last matchup with Sabalenka converted 59% of her first serves. Due to her short stature, Pegula is very quick on her feet and covers ground really well.
Jessica Pegula - Aryna Sabalenka Key Points
- Sabalenka has won each of her last 11 matches.
- 13 of Sabalenka’s 15 tour titles were won on hard courts.
- Pegula has lost seven of the 13 tour finals she contested in her career.
- Sabalenka won two of the three Grand Slam finals she has played in her career.
- Five of the seven previous meetings between Sabalenka and Pegula were won by the former.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction
Jessica Pegula is playing in her first ever Grand Slam final. She has been in fine form throughout the season, especially on hard courts and will be a tough nut to crack. However, Sabalenka is also having a superb season and will find a way to deal with the home favorite.
The Belarussian has also dominated in her matchups with Pegula over the years, winning five of seven meetings. Having lost in the US Open final last year, Sabalenka will be extra motivated for this final.
Our prediction for Jessica Pegula v Aryna Sabalenka is for Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets.
Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka - Other Interesting Predictions
Aryna Sabalenka to win the first set
Aryna Sabalenka powered her way to the final with assured victories. She is on an 11-match winning streak and only lost the opening set once in that run. Our second prediction, therefore, will be for Sabalenka to win the first set.
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Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka match : Frequently asked questions
The Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula US Open final match will be played on Saturday 7th September, starting 8pm GMT.
The Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula US Open final match will be played at the Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in New York.
Aryna Sabalenka has dominated matches against Jessica Pegula, winning five of the seven meetings.
ESPN will air the Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula US Open final match. In the UK, Sky Sports will air the game. You may also follow the live scores through the WTA US Open Women Singles page on SportyTrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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