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Japan vs Samoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Rugby World Cup
by Devesh Jaganath | in Rugby World Cup Predictions
Japan and Samoa will face off in week four of the 2023 Rugby World Cup on Thursday. This is a crucial match in Pool D between the sides that are in third and second place, respectively. While England look like they will go on to claim first place in the pool, both these sides, along with Argentina, are still in the running for second place. Japan's five points so far came in their opening match of the competition, where they beat Chile 42-12. Against England, The Brave Blossoms pulled the score to 13-12 early in the second half. However, they were outclassed in the latter stages as England ran out 34-12 winners. Still, they would have taken several positives from that match, and a win here will put them in a very good position. Japan have won two of their three World Cup matches against Samoa and will fancy their chances of another here.
While Japan held the advantage over Samoa at World Cups, the Samoans have been the most dominant side across all competitions. In 17 meetings, Samoa have won 12 while Japan have won five. That includes beating them in the Pacific Nations Series last July. Like their opponents, they beat Chile convincingly in their first match, claiming a 43-10 victory. However, they were handed their first defeat of the tournament last weekend, losing 19-10 to Argentina. Despite losing that match, Samoa were extremely impressive and made a late surge but came up just short. They also missed out on a losing bonus point.
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Japan vs Samoa Form
Japan and Samoa's standings in the Rugby World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
|
4
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 |
Japan and Samoa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
17 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs
29 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
20 Nov 2022 - Test Matchs
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
29 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
20 Oct 2019 - Rugby World Cup
13 Oct 2019 - Rugby World Cup
28 Sep 2019 - Rugby World Cup
0/3 (0%)
0/3 (0%)
3/3 (100%)
17 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs
20 Nov 2022 - Test Matchs
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
16 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs
28 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
12 Oct 2019 - Rugby World Cup
1/2 (50%)
0/2 (0%)
1/2 (50%)
16 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
28 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
1/5 (20%)
0/5 (0%)
4/5 (80%)
22 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs
22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
12 Oct 2019 - Rugby World Cup
30 Sep 2019 - Rugby World Cup
Japan vs Samoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
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Japan - Samoa Key Points
- Samoa beat this opposition in their last meeting
- Samoa have beaten Japan in 11 of their 16 matches
- Samoa finished their last match very strongly, which could be a crucial factor here
- Samoa are ranked one place above Japan in the world standings
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Our Japan vs Samoa Prediction
While Samoa are the favorites, there is almost nothing between these sides on the latest odds. That illustrates just how close this one could get. Based on their first two matches, we're giving the Samoans the edge here but will opt for a safer +2.5. This is a very tricky fixture, so we will be leaving it off our accumulators for the day. Our Japan vs Samoa prediction: Handicap Samoa +2.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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