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Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Second seed Carlos Alcaraz is bidding to become the first player to win the Madrid Masters three times in a row. In the last 16 of this year's tournament, he takes on the 23rd seeded Jan-Lennard Struff. In the quarter-finals the winner of this match will face either seventh seeded Andrey Rublev or Tallon Griekspoor who is the 24th seed. This match is a repeat of last year's final in this outdoor clay court tournament. Alcaraz won that match in three sets, losing the second. He's 2-1 up on Struff in previous meetings, winning the last two played. He did lose to Struff at Roland Garros in 2022. Alcaraz is in good form though and so far in Madrid he's had wins over Alexander Shevchenko and Thiago Seyboth Wild. Both were straight sets wins and only nine games have been dropped by the Spaniard.
Alcaraz is yet to win a tournament this year but his opponent has and on clay. Struff won the BMW Open in Munich and is 24th in the latest world rankings. The German is under pessure though as he's defending the points he earned when reaching the 2023 Madrid Masters final. That's why he's down to 40th in the live rankings so a loss here would see him battling to be seeded at Roland Garros. Struff has also had two straight sets wins so far in this tournament. The last round saw him beat Ugo Humbert who was seeded 13th. This is tougher but we go for Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jan-Lennard Struff v Carlos Alcaraz Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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5 | 1.17 |
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4.5 | 1.18 |
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5.1 | 1.13 |
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4.84 | 1.19 |
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4.84 | 1.19 |
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4.86 | 1.18 |
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4.86 | 1.18 |
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5.2 | 1.18 |
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4.82 | 1.18 |
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5 | 1.17 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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3.1 | 1.36 |
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5.5 | 1.14 |
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5 | 1.17 |
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5 | 1.17 |
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5.15 | 1.18 |
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Who will win the Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 30/04/2024 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jan-Lennard Struff has a 32.52% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Betfair ⭐ with the odds of 5.5.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 67.48% probability of winning facing Jan-Lennard Struff ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at Betway.
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jan-Lennard Struff has a 32.52 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jan-Lennard Struff | 32.52 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 67.48 % |
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Jan-Lennard Struff and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2024 - ATP Munich Open
20 Apr 2024 - ATP Munich Open
19 Apr 2024 - ATP Munich Open
18 Apr 2024 - ATP Munich Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
28 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
25 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
23 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
7 May 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Jun 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5 Jun 2021 - ATP French Open
Jan-Lennard Struff - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Alcaraz has won this title for the past two years.
- Alcaraz has won both of his matches in this tournament in straight sets, dropping only nine games.
- Alcaraz beat Struff in last year's final.
- Struff has lost his last three matches against top-ten ranked players in straight sets.
- Nine of the last ten matches won by Alcaraz have been achieved without dropping a set.
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Our Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings