ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Jakub Mensik’s charge for a second Masters title continues, with a fourth-round match against Alexander Bublik in Madrid. The two are meeting for the third time, and the winner will face Alexander Zverev or Francisco Cerundolo. Read on for our prediction.
Mensik has seen off two Americans and will be eyeing a second quarter-final showing at the Masters level. The Czech youngster met in-form Ben Shelton in the last round and, with much ease, won in straight sets.
He will now be targeting win number 20 for the season. The third-round victory brought his record to 19-8, with only two of his wins coming on clay.
Bublik’s tournament started from the first round, and he comes here having played three matches already at this event. His most recent was a big one, as he eliminated the defending champion, Andrey Rublev.
He dropped a set for the first time in that three-set victory. Having arrived here on a losing run, that win took his record for the season to 12-12. He is now in line to match his best performance at Madrid, a quarter-final showing in 2021.
Bublik has a 9-4 record at Madrid, but having played about 2.5 hours more than Mensik might work against him. Head-to-head, these two are tied at 1-1, and this will be their second meeting this year.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jakub Mensik v Alexander Bublik Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.36 | 3.2 |
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1.35 | 3.1 |
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1.32 | 3.2 |
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1.36 | 3.17 |
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1.36 | 3.17 |
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Who will win the Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik match is: Jakub Mensik wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik game on 29/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jakub Mensik has a 62.91% chance to win against Alexander Bublik according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
- Alexander Bublik has a 37.09% probability of winning facing Jakub Mensik ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jakub Mensik has a 62.91 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jakub Mensik | 62.91 % |
Alexander Bublik | 37.09 % |
Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik Form
Jakub Mensik and Alexander Bublik Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
30 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
28 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
27 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
4 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik Key Points
- Four of Bublik’s last 10 matches ended in defeat.
- Seven of Bublik’s last 15 clay games ended in defeat.
- Six on Mensik's last seven wins were in straight sets.
- Mensik has suffered just one loss in the last 10 outings.
- Mensik has a 2-0 record in the fourth round at the Masters level.
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Bublik Prediction
A defeat for Bublik is written all over this encounter. The Kazakh beat Mensik in their first-ever meeting last year at Wimbledon. However, an improved performance from the Czech youngster saw him avenge that in Rotterdam this year.
Mensik returns an even more accomplished player. He has played fewer hours in Madrid and has a better run compared to Bublik. His two wins at Madrid are a sign he has recovered from his early exit at Munich. Our prediction for Jakub Mensik v Alexander Bublik is that Jakub Mensik wins in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Bublik game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jakub Mensik and Alexander Bublik you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jakub Mensik or Alexander Bublik , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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