ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Jack Draper’s chase for a quarter-final berth at the Masters level continues on Wednesday in Madrid. The fifth seed will be up against Tommy Paul in the fourth round, with the winner set to meet Frances Tiafoe or Matteo Arnaldi. Read on for our prediction of the match. This is the sixth meeting between the two players, and Draper has a 3-2 lead on head-to-head records. The British No. 1 had an easy outing against Matteo Berrettini in the third round after the Italian retired in the second set. This win pushed his record for the season to 16-4. He will be pushing for a first-ever clay Masters quarter-final showing. At Madrid his best record was the second round, which he has since bettered.
Tommy Paul is a much better player on clay than Draper, and showing that on the court will be his major agenda. This will be the first-ever meeting on clay between the two players. The American has played five times on clay this season and lost just once. He will seek to extend that, and his record for the season, which stands at 17-6 after beating Karen Khachanov in three sets. By getting to the fourth round, Paul has bettered his earlier performances in Madrid. His highlight for 2025 so far has been three separate semi-final appearances.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jack Draper v Tommy Paul Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.53 | 2.5 |
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1.53 | 2.37 |
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1.53 | 2.4 |
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1.59 | 2.37 |
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1.59 | 2.37 |
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul match is: Jack Draper wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul game on 30/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jack Draper has a 55.9% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.61.
- Tommy Paul has a 44.1% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 2.55 at Betobet.
Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 55.9 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jack Draper | 55.9 % |
Tommy Paul | 44.1 % |
Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Form
Jack Draper and Tommy Paul Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
2 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
21 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships
26 Feb 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open
17 Jan 2024 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2024 - Adelaide International
Jack Draper - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Draper has eight wins in his last 10 matches.
- Paul has three losses in the last eight matches.
- Draper leads Paul 3-2 on head-to-head records.
- Paul has spent close to two hours more than Draper on the court.
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Our Jack Draper vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Jack Draper is still trying to get to his best on clay. After struggling in Monte Carlo, the British No. 1 has another opportunity. He fits the bill of players Tommy Paul has struggled to cope with this season and should be able to seize this chance.
He has the head-to-head advantage coming into this match, while Paul trails 0-2 against top 10 players this season. On the side, Paul knows this is a surface that troubled Draper, and he will want to make the most of it. Our prediction for Jack Draper v Tommy Paul is that Jack Draper wins the match.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jack Draper vs. Tommy Paul game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jack Draper and Tommy Paul you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jack Draper or Tommy Paul , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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