ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Matteo Berrettini has another tough encounter coming his way in the third round at the Madrid Masters. The Italian will face off with British No. 1 Jack Draper, with Karen Khachanov or Tommy Paul awaiting the winner. Below is our prediction for the match.
Jack Draper was expected to have a tough start as he returned to action following the Monte Carlo disappointment. However, the world No. 6 sailed past Tallon Griekspoor without much trouble, spending just over an hour and winning 2-0.
With that he took his tally to 15-4 for the season and also rose to 2-1 on clay, a surface he hasn’t had great times on.
While Draper had a straightforward outing, it wasn’t the same for Berrettini. The Italian needed over 2.5 hours to see off a hard-fighting Marcos Giron in the last round.
The first two sets actually needed tiebreakers before a jaded Giron gave in 6-1 in the final set. Berrettini marches on, hoping to finally claim a win against Draper in their third career meeting.
These two met at Stuttgart in 2024 and Doha this year; both matches ended in 2-1 defeats for Berrettini. He is a stronger player on clay and will be banking on that as he seeks to boost his current run of 12-8. Berrettini is also a former finalist at Madrid.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jack Draper v Matteo Berrettini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.51 | 2.45 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.45 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.45 |
|
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini match is: match to have three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini game on 28/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jack Draper has a 65.08% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.59.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 34.92% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 2.6 at Tonybet.
Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 65.08 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jack Draper | 65.08 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 34.92 % |
Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
27 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
20 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
16 Jun 2024 - ATP Stuttgart Open
Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Four of Berrettini’s seven matches at Madrid needed deciding sets.
- Two of Draper’s last four matches at Madrid had three sets.
- Both meetings between these players produced three sets.
- Three of Berrettini’s last five matches produced three sets.
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Our Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
Berrettini is an accomplished player on clay; in three of four clay tour events he played last year, the Italian won titles. He showed glimpses of his ability on clay with two wins in Monte Carlo and will seek to extend the same here.
However, he faces a tough opponent, and despite his strength on clay, Berrettini might find a game against Draper challenging. We expect a tight game out at Stadium 3, and our prediction for Jack Draper v Matteo Berrettini is for the match to have three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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