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Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Qatar Open
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Eighth seed Jack Draper and fifth seed Andrey Rublev will face off on Saturday to decide this year’s Qatar Open. This match will mark their fourth career meeting and the first as a championship game. Below we have an analysis of the match then our offer of two predictions on the possible outcomes.
Andrey Rublev would feel he has the mental advantage in this tie due to his superior head-to-head run but it is Draper who is heavily favoured by the bookies. The three previous meetings between these players may hold little or no significance in the end, as they were before the year 2023.
After 2023 both players' careers took completely contrasting paths. While 2024 was a breakout season for Draper, Rublev slowed down a bit. To get here, Draper defeated Jiri Lehecka in the semi-finals whereas Rublev got the better of Felix Auger-Aliassime. This is both Draper and Rublev’s first tour final of the season but it is the latter’s third in Doha.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jack Draper v Andrey Rublev Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.75 | 2 |
|
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1.74 | 2.09 |
|
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1.74 | 2.09 |
|
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1.79 | 2.02 |
|
|
1.74 | 2.09 |
|
|
1.74 | 2.09 |
|
|
1.74 | 2.09 |
|
|
1.76 | 1.99 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.75 | 2.1 |
|
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1.73 | 2.1 |
|
|
1.76 | 2.07 |
|
|
1.78 | 2.01 |
|
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev match is: match to have three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev game on 22/02/2025 of the current ATP Qatar Open season:
- Jack Draper has a 47.73% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
- Andrey Rublev has a 52.27% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at William Hill.
Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 47.73 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jack Draper | 47.73 % |
| Andrey Rublev | 52.27 % |
Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev Form
Jack Draper and Andrey Rublev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
20 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
19 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
17 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
18 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
17 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
20 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
19 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
7 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
6 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
4 Sep 2023 - ATP US Open
3 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev: Form Analysis
Jack Draper battled from a set down to win his semi-final showdown with Lehecka which lasted two hours and 22 minutes. It was the second time in succession this week that he has needed a decider after losing the first set.
The Briton has now progressed to his fifth career tour final. He has won the last two times he has played a final. Draper has been in terrific form this season and through eight matches, has won seven times.
This strong run of results has propelled him up to 12th in the live ranking which is a new career-high.
Rublev hasn't won an ATP 500 title since Dubai 2022.
Andrey Rublev has won all three times that he has been paired up against Draper. Their most recent encounter was two seasons ago in the fourth round of the US Open.
This dominance will have him confident of securing a second title in Doha. Rublev triumphed in this event in 2020 and has also finished as runner-up once. This is the Russian’s 27 tour final.
He has won 16 titles among them multiple ATP 1000 and 500 events. After an unimpressive start to the season, Rublev has now improved to an 8-4 record and jumped to ninth in the live ranking.
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Jack Draper & Andrey Rublev Squad Analysis
Draper is ambidextrous but mostly uses his left hand while on the court. This is advantageous as both his forehand and backhands are all equally ferocious. He packs a powerful serve and equally bruising groundstrokes.
He showed his endurance and fitness levels in coming back to beat Jiri Lehecka a day after he had done the same to overcome Matteo Berrettini.
Rublev leads 3-0 in the H2H numbers between these two.
Rublev also has a ferocious serve and uses it many times to his advantage. He is an effective offensive baseline player and has a strong two-handed backhand that works expertly for him.
This season, Rublev's emotional strength is coming out as a key asset. Last season he lost a number of sets and matches due to a lack of mental composure and his improvement will be key here.
That, and having beaten the in-form Felix Auger-Aliassime in the semis could hand him a psychological edge.
Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Rublev and Draper have both won at least one set in two of their three battles.
- Draper has won over 110 matches on hardcourts.
- Rublev has claimed close to 200 victories on hardcourts.
- A decider has been required in each of Draper’s and Rublev’s respective last two matches.
- Draper and Rublev are both multiple tour champions.
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Our Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Our prediction for Jack Draper v Andrey Rublev is for this match to have three sets. Rublev and Draper are exceptional hardcourt performers and have registered most of their total career victories on such surfaces. As a result, we expect a hard-fought match as a title is also at stake.
Though he has never won against Rublev, Draper has made their matchups intense and only once has Rublev won in straight sets. Draper has also won a set in all but one of his eight matches this season
Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev - Other Interesting Predictions
Rublev to win first set
For our second prediction, we pick Rublev to claim the first set. The Russian is a former Doha champion and also has a strong record competing in championship matches. He has won the opening set in each of his last seven fixtures. Draper on his part has lost the first set five times in eight outings this season.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jack Draper vs. Andrey Rublev game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jack Draper and Andrey Rublev you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jack Draper or Andrey Rublev , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
Jack Draper vs Andrey Rublev match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Saturday 22 February.
This match will be played at the Khalifa International Tennis and Squash Complex in Doha, Qatar.
Audiences in the UK will be able to follow this match live on Sky Sports and NOW TV. Live minute-by-minute updates will also be available on Sportytarder in the ATP Doha Men's Singles livescore.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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