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Italy vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Basketball World Cup
by Joseph King | in Basketball World Cup Predictions
The quarter-final of the 2023 FIBA World Cup sees tournament favorites the United States facing off against 10th-ranked Italy. The winner of this fixture will go on to face either Germnay or Latvia in the semi-finals. The USA will be out to respond after losing their first game of the tournament in their last appearance. The Americans were unable to cope with a versatile Lithuania side who shot 56% from three and out-rebounded them by a margin of 16. Head coach Steve Kerr will hope the loss can serve as a wake-up call moving into the knockout rounds. Prior to the loss, the United States had won their previous four games in the competition by an average winning margin of 26.3 points. The result snapped a streak of nine consecutive wins for Team USA and was their first defeat since February of 2023.
Italy will surely be cursing their luck ahead of this quarter-final. Despite topping Group I with a record of four wins and one defeat, they have still received the most difficult possible draw coming up against the five-time winners. The Italians finished second in their initial group with wins over Angola and the Philippines as well as a loss to the Dominican Republic. The second group stage phase saw them win both of their outings, a 78-76 victory over Serbia and a 73-57 win over Puerto Rico. Italy has largely struggled shooting the ball in this tournament which is evidenced by their 31% mark from beyond the arc. They’ve also managed to crack 90 points on just one occasion. However, Italy’s strong defense has seen them through to this stage of the tournament as they are allowing an average of just 74 points per game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v USA Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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15.5 | 1.03 |
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9.75 | 1.02 |
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9.2 | 1.05 |
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9 | 1.05 |
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8.5 | 1.05 |
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7.6 | 1.09 |
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9 | 1.07 |
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10 | 1.07 |
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Italy vs USA Form
Italy and USA Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
14 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
6 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
2 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
4 Sep 2019 - Basketball World Cup
2 Sep 2019 - Basketball World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
14 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
11 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
8 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
26 Feb 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
14 Nov 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
11 Nov 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
26 Feb 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
23 Feb 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
29 Aug 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
4 Jul 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
1 Jul 2022 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A
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Substitutes
Italy - USA Key Points
- The United States are averaging 101.4 points scored per game this competition while Italy are averaging just 80.8.
- Italy shot just 42% from the field in their last appearance and 26% from three.
- Italy have a record of just five wins and seven losses across their last 13 matchups with top-10 ranked teams.
- Across their six five games in this FIBA World Cup, the United States have an average winning margin of +21.8.
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Our Italy vs USA Prediction
While they will of course have wanted to win every game of this competition, the loss against Lithuania could actually be a net benefit for the United States. It will surely have jolted the players and made them realize that they certainly are not an invincible squad despite their abundance of talent. Italy have been impressive at this World Cup but their shooting is a concern. They likely won’t be able to contain this United States squad like they have other teams up to this point. We’re expecting a strong bounce back from the Americans here in a match they should win by double-digits. Our USA vs Italy prediction is for the USA on the -15 point spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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