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05 September 2023 - 08:40 

- QF

World - Basketball World Cup

Italy
VS
USA

Prediction :

United States -15 point spread

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Italy vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Basketball World Cup

 by Joseph King | in Basketball World Cup Predictions

The quarter-final of the 2023 FIBA World Cup sees tournament favorites the United States facing off against 10th-ranked Italy. The winner of this fixture will go on to face either Germnay or Latvia in the semi-finals. The USA will be out to respond after losing their first game of the tournament in their last appearance. The Americans were unable to cope with a versatile Lithuania side who shot 56% from three and out-rebounded them by a margin of 16. Head coach Steve Kerr will hope the loss can serve as a wake-up call moving into the knockout rounds. Prior to the loss, the United States had won their previous four games in the competition by an average winning margin of 26.3 points. The result snapped a streak of nine consecutive wins for Team USA and was their first defeat since February of 2023.

Italy will surely be cursing their luck ahead of this quarter-final. Despite topping Group I with a record of four wins and one defeat, they have still received the most difficult possible draw coming up against the five-time winners. The Italians finished second in their initial group with wins over Angola and the Philippines as well as a loss to the Dominican Republic. The second group stage phase saw them win both of their outings, a 78-76 victory over Serbia and a 73-57 win over Puerto Rico. Italy has largely struggled shooting the ball in this tournament which is evidenced by their 31% mark from beyond the arc. They’ve also managed to crack 90 points on just one occasion. However, Italy’s strong defense has seen them through to this stage of the tournament as they are allowing an average of just 74 points per game.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v USA Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
15.5 1.03
NetBet
9.75 1.02
Tonybet
9.2 1.05
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Italy vs USA Form

Italy and USA Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
73 :  57
Puerto Rico

1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Serbia
76 :  78
Italy

29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Philippines
83 :  90
Italy

27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
82 :  87
Dominican Republic

25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Angola
67 :  81
Italy

14 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket

France
93 :  85
Italy
USA
USA Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
104 :  110
Lithuania

1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
85 :  73
Montenegro

30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
110 :  62
Jordan

28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
81 :  109
USA

26 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
99 :  72
New Zealand

26 Feb 2023 - FIBA World Cup, Americas Qualifiers, Group A

Brazil
83 :  76
USA

Players list

Italy
Italy
S. Tonut M. Spissu A. Polonara S. Fontecchio N. Melli
USA
USA
J. Hart J. Brunson A. Edwards J. Jackson Jr. M. Bridges

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
M. Diouf M. Spagnolo A. Pajola L. Datome G. Ricci G. Procida L. Severini
USA
USA
W. Kessler T. Haliburton A. Reaves B. Portis C. Johnson B. Ingram P. Banchero

Italy - USA Key Points

  1. The United States are averaging 101.4 points scored per game this competition while Italy are averaging just 80.8.
  2. Italy shot just 42% from the field in their last appearance and 26% from three.
  3. Italy have a record of just five wins and seven losses across their last 13 matchups with top-10 ranked teams.
  4. Across their six five games in this FIBA World Cup, the United States have an average winning margin of +21.8.
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Our Italy vs USA Prediction

While they will of course have wanted to win every game of this competition, the loss against Lithuania could actually be a net benefit for the United States. It will surely have jolted the players and made them realize that they certainly are not an invincible squad despite their abundance of talent. Italy have been impressive at this World Cup but their shooting is a concern. They likely won’t be able to contain this United States squad like they have other teams up to this point. We’re expecting a strong bounce back from the Americans here in a match they should win by double-digits. Our USA vs Italy prediction is for the USA on the -15 point spread.

Prediction :

United States -15 point spread

Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Italy vs USA Prediction
Up to $200 to bet on Italy - USA! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

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