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Italy vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips - Basketball World Cup
by Joseph King | in Basketball World Cup Predictions
Italy and Slovenia wrap up their 2023 FIBA World Cup campaigns when they face off in this final Classification stage fixture. FIBA uses these games to determine qualification for the 2024 Olympics. The winner of this contest will finish seventh while the loser will end the tournament in eighth-place.
Italy were bounced out of the tournament following a 100-63 blowout loss to the heavily favored United States in the quarter-final. The Italians were unable to bounce back in the following Classification stage match as they lost 87-82 to an overachieving Latvia team. They’ll hope to avoid ending the tournament on a three game losing streak, something that hasn’t happened since August of 2022. Italy progressed through the two group stages thanks to a strong defense. However, they’ve failed to keep up when coming up against more high-powered opponents. Italy’s offense is putting up only 78.4 points per game in this tournament, ranking 23rd out of the 32 competing nations.
The lack of offensive spark could wind up costing Italy here as they come up against the best player in the tournament in Luka Doncic. The Dallas Mavericks star is leading the tournament in scoring for Slovenia at 26.7 points per game. Doncic put up a 29 point performance in his last outing, although it wasn’t enough to propel Slovenia to the victory. Overall, this World Cup will likely be viewed as a failure by fans of Slovenia who will have harbored aspirations of making it to at least the semi-finals. The team were knocked out in the quarters by Canada 100-89 and would then go on to lose the Classification stage game 100-84 to Lithuania. The results mean that Slovenia have now lost three consecutive games for the first time since 2018.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Slovenia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.6 | 1.56 |
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2.42 | 1.48 |
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2.3 | 1.6 |
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2.35 | 1.52 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
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2.53 | 1.55 |
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Italy vs Slovenia Form
Italy and Slovenia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
5 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
5 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
6 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
2 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
14 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
11 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
8 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
6 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
14 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
10 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
4 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
6 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
7 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
6 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
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Italy - Slovenia Key Points
- Slovenia have the 10th-best offense in this tournament at an average of 87.9 points per game compared to Italy who rank 23rd at 78.4.
- Italy have lost all three games at this World Cup when they’ve allowed their opponents to score 84 points or more.
- Slovenia have scored at least 84 points in six of their seven games at this World Cup.
- The Italians actually have a negative average points differential in this competition at -1.2 while Slovenia sits at +0.9.
- At an average of just 41.9%, Italy ranks 27th in the tournament in overall field goal percentage.
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Our Italy vs Slovenia Prediction
Italy likely won’t have an answer for Luka Doncic when the teams face off at the Mall of Asia Arena on Saturday. They’ve shown difficulty this tournament in keeping up with teams that are capable of high point totals. Slovenia have really struggled on the defensive side in recent outings but should have an easier time against this Italian team that has not shot the ball well. We’re expecting a much improved performance from Slovenia who should be fired-up for this one. Our Italy vs Slovenia prediction is for Slovenia to win and cover the -3.5 point spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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