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Europe - Six Nations

Italy
09 Mar 2024 09:15
Scotland

Prediction :

 

Scotland -8.5

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Italy vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - Six Nations

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Six Nations Predictions

Round four in the 2024 Six Nations will get underway, with Italy playing host to Scotland on Saturday afternoon. The hosts are currently at the bottom of the Championship table, while the visitors are second. Despite being significant underdogs, Italy managed to secure a remarkable draw against France in Round three, with the game ending 13-13. They had a chance to clinch a rare victory, but a penalty attempt in the dying moments hit the post. Initially conceding the first 10 points, Italy fought back strongly, particularly in the second half when France were down to 14 men. In Round two, Italy suffered a heavy defeat against Ireland in Dublin, losing 36-0. However, in Round one, the Azzuri put up a valiant effort against England in Rome, where they were given a handicap of around 14.5 points. Despite leading 17-14 at halftime, England managed to come back and win 27-24. Italy scored three tries compared to England's two and earned a losing bonus point. While they remain at the bottom of the standings, Italy now have 3 log points, the same as Wales, whom they will face in the final round of matches.

Last round,  Scotland surged into second position on the log with a 30-21 home victory over England. Despite conceding the first ten points, they rallied to take a 17-14 lead. Duhan Van der Merwe played a pivotal role, scoring all three of Scotland's tries in the game. In Round two, the Scots suffered a controversial 20-16 defeat to France at Murrayfield. Although they led 13-10 at halftime and dominated much of the first half, France managed to pull ahead on the scoreboard with a 70th-minute try. Scotland believed they had scored the winning try at the death, but it was disallowed by the TMO, resulting in them settling for a losing bonus point. Scotland began their campaign with a thrilling 27-26 victory over Wales in Cardiff. They enjoyed a commanding 20-0 lead at halftime, extending it to 27-0 early in the second half. However, Wales staged a remarkable comeback, and Scotland had to hold on desperately in the closing moments. In the previous year's Six Nations, Scotland defeated Italy 26-14 at Murrayfield, and in 2022, they secured a 33-22 victory during their visit to Rome.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Scotland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.5 34 1.25
Ladbrokes
4.5 34 1.25
NetBet
4.7 27 1.21
1xbet
4.95 39 1.22
22bet
4.95 39 1.22
Betwinner
4.92 37 1.22
LSbet
4.92 37 1.22
Melbet
5.1 28 1.22
Tonybet
4.9 28 1.21
Betfair
4.5 36 1.2
Betsson
4.8 22 1.21
Vbet
4.5 34 1.25
Betway
4.5 26 1.2
Check all Italy vs Scotland odds
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Italy vs Scotland Form

Italy and Scotland's standings in the Six Nations

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Scotland
Scotland
12 5 2 0 3 0
5
Italy
Italy
11 5 2 1 2 -34

Italy and Scotland Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

25 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
13 :  13
Italy

11 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Ireland
36 :  0
Italy

3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  27
England

6 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
60 :  7
Italy

29 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
96 :  17
Italy

20 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Italy
38 :  17
Uruguay
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  27
England

20 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Italy
38 :  17
Uruguay

9 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Italy
52 :  8
Namibia

26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Italy
42 :  21
Japan

19 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Italy
57 :  7
Romania

11 Mar 2023 - Six Nations

Italy
17 :  29
Wales
L L L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

25 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
13 :  13
Italy

11 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Ireland
36 :  0
Italy

6 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
60 :  7
Italy

29 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
96 :  17
Italy

5 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Ireland
33 :  17
Italy

29 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Scotland
25 :  13
Italy
Scotland
Scotland Last matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

24 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Scotland
30 :  21
England

10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Scotland
16 :  20
France

3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Wales
26 :  27
Scotland

7 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Ireland
36 :  14
Scotland

30 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Scotland
84 :  0
Romania

24 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Scotland
45 :  17
Tonga
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

24 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Scotland
30 :  21
England

10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Scotland
16 :  20
France

30 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Scotland
84 :  0
Romania

24 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Scotland
45 :  17
Tonga

26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Scotland
33 :  6
Georgia

5 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Scotland
25 :  21
France
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Wales
26 :  27
Scotland

7 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Ireland
36 :  14
Scotland

10 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

South Africa
18 :  3
Scotland

12 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

France
30 :  27
Scotland

26 Feb 2023 - Six Nations

France
32 :  21
Scotland

4 Feb 2023 - Six Nations

England
23 :  29
Scotland

Italy vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

0 %

Draw

0 %

Scotland

100 %

29 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Scotland
25 :  13
Italy

18 Mar 2023 - Six Nations

Scotland
26 :  14
Italy

12 Mar 2022 - Six Nations

Italy
22 :  33
Scotland

20 Mar 2021 - Six Nations

Scotland
52 :  10
Italy

22 Feb 2020 - Six Nations

Italy
0 :  17
Scotland

2 Feb 2019 - Six Nations

Scotland
33 :  20
Italy

Players list

Italy
Italy
S. Negri G. Nicotera M. Lamaro T. Menoncello F. Ruzza I. Brex M. Page Relo N. Cannone L. Lynagh A. Capuozzo S. Ferrari M. Ioane D. Fischetti P. Garbisi R. Vintcent
Scotland
Scotland
G. Turner F. Russell D. Van der Merwe J. Dempsey H. Jones A. Christie G. Horne P. Schoeman S. Cummings B. Kinghorn C. Redpath G. Gilchrist Z. Fagerson K. Steyn R. Darge

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
F. Mori L. Cannone M. Spagnolo S. Varney G. Lucchesi A. Zambonin G. Zilocchi L. Marin
Scotland
Scotland
S. Skinner E. Ashman A. Hepburn M. Fagerson E. Millar-Mills K. Rowe A. Price J. Ritchie

Italy - Scotland Key Points

  1. Scotland have won seven of their last ten away games in this competition
  2. Scotland have not lost to Italy since 2015
  3. Scotland are on a 13-match winning streak against Italy
  4. Italy have failed to win any of their last eight Six Nations matches
  5. Italy have ended bottom of the Six Nations standings 18 times in the last 20 years
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Our Italy vs Scotland Prediction

Italy showed tremendous fight agaisnt France in their last match, but being able to consistently perform at that level has been a struggle for them. They now face a Scotland side that are improving with every game and will be determined to win this match to set up a grandstand finish to the tournament next week against Ireland. We expect another close game here, but fancy the visitors to get the win. Our Italy vs Scotland prediction: Scotland -4.5. 

Prediction :

 

Scotland -8.5

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Italy vs Scotland Prediction
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