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Italy vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - Basketball World Cup
by Joseph King | in Basketball Predictions
After both suffering defeats in the quarter-finals, Latvia and Italy now square off in the Classification game bracket of the 2023 FIBA World Cup. This is needed to determine which teams finish fifth through eighth as it can have an influence on qualification for the 2024 Olympics. Latvia suffered a heartbreaking 81-79 defeat to Germany on Wednesday. The game came down to a deep Davis Bertans three-pointer at the buzzer that would’ve won the game for the Latvians had it fallen. Instead, it’s Germany that moves on while Latvia will now be playing for fifth-place. Overall, Latvia can certainly hold their head high as they have exceeded expectations at this World Cup. The 29th-ranked team pulled off some monumental upsets in this competition with an 88-86 win over fourth-ranked France and a 74-69 win over defending champions Spain. In the 2023 World Cup as a whole, Latvia won four games and lost twice.
Italy come into this fixture off the back of a heavy, albeit expected, loss to the United States in the quarter-final. The Americans cruised to a 100-63 victory in a game that was essentially over at halftime. While they’ll certainly be disappointed by the way that they went out, it has overall been a fairly good showing for Italy up to this point. The 10th-ranked team finished second in their initial group but would record wins over Serbia and Puerto Rico in the second phase. This saw Italy finish top of Group I, although they were unfortunate in the quarter-final draw to be paired with the tournament favorites. Italy haven’t been shooting the ball well this tournament which could catch up with them here. They’ve been relying on a sturdy defense that has conceded the eighth fewest points in this competition. Gli Azzurri will have their hands full against the high-volume shooting style of Latvia.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Latvia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.91 | 1.91 |
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1.75 | 1.85 |
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1.84 | 1.93 |
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1.8 | 1.95 |
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1.85 | 1.95 |
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1.9 | 1.92 |
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1.85 | 1.99 |
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1.82 | 2.02 |
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Italy vs Latvia Form
Italy and Latvia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
6 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
2 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
4 Sep 2019 - Basketball World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
14 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
11 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
8 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
25 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3/5 (60%)
2/5 (40%)
6 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
29 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
27 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
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Italy - Latvia Key Points
- Latvia ranks first in the entire tournament in terms of three-pointers made per game on average at 13.2.
- They also rank second in three-pointer attempts per game (33) and third in three-point field goal percentage (39.9%).
- Italy ranks 28th out of 32 in three-point field goal percentage at just 28.9% and 27th in overall field goal percentage at 41.2%.
- The Italians are actually averaging a negative points differential in the World Cup at -0.5 while Latvia is sitting at a +6.4 average points differential.
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Our Italy vs Latvia Prediction
Both teams come into this fixture with a record of four wins and two losses. However, Italy have only played against two teams ranked in the top 15 (Serbia and USA), which they split 1-1. Latvia, meanwhile, have faced five top-15 ranked sides and have beaten three of them. Italy will have the rest advantage here as the Latvians are forced to play a back-to-back. Even with this disadvantage, we still think Latvia are the hotter team at the moment and will come into this game with more desire to get the win. Our Latvia vs Italy prediction is for Latvia to win the game.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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