Europe - Six Nations
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by Steve Ashfield | in Six Nations Predictions
Defending champions Ireland are in grave danger of losing their Six Nations title. They are only third in the table and play their final match away at fifth-placed Italy. Can they get a win to keep their title hopes alive? Read our match prediction.
Ireland have won the Triple Crown this year but then lost at home to France last weekend. They were only two points behind at the break but eventually lost by a 17-point margin. This is the first match of the final weekend and they trail second-placed England by a point with France two ahead of them.
Only a win can keep Ireland in with a chance of retaining their title. They have not lost to Italy since 2013 and last year beat them 36-0 at home.
Italy have only four points and are one clear of bottom-of-the-table Wales who host England this weekend. They have won one match this year with a home victory over Wales. However, their last two games against France and England have seen them concede 120 points.
They have at least scored 48 of their own in those two matches but they face a tough task to get a win over Ireland and end a run of 15 consecutive defeats. We tip Ireland to win this and defy a -17.5 points handicap.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Ireland Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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13 | 51 | 1.05 |
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9.5 | 41 | 1.05 |
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11.1 | 50 | 1.07 |
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11.1 | 50 | 1.07 |
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9.5 | 27 | 1.09 |
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Italy vs Ireland Form
Italy and Ireland's standings in the Six Nations
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
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3
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19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
5
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5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -82 |
Italy and Ireland Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
9 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
17 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
17 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
9 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
21 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
11 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
4 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations

5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
30 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
30 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
23 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
15 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
8 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
6 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
9 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
2 Feb 2024 - Six Nations
Italy vs Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
11 Feb 2024 - Six Nations
5 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs
25 Feb 2023 - Six Nations
27 Feb 2022 - Six Nations
27 Feb 2021 - Six Nations
24 Oct 2020 - Six Nations
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Italy - Ireland Key Points
- Ireland have won their last 15 games against Italy.
- Italy's last win over Ireland was in 2013.
- Italy have conceded 120 points in their last two games.
- Ireland have won three of their four matches in this season's Six Nations.
- Five of Ireland's last seven wins over Italy have been by at least 18 points.
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Our Italy vs Ireland Prediction
A win and a bonus point is the target for Ireland in this match against Italy. That would take them to 19 points but that is still unlikely to be enough to retain their title. It really is France's to lose at present.
Italy have struggled in their last two matches with a couple of heavy defeats. They have at least scored 48 points in those two games. Our Italy v Ireland prediction is Ireland to win on a -17.5 points handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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