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18 August 2024 - 11:00 

- SF

WTA - WTA Cincinnati Open

WTA 1 Poland
Iga Swiatek
VS
WTA 2 Russia
Aryna Sabalenka

Prediction :

Iga Swiatek to win in three sets

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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Cincinnati Open

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Iga Swiatek and third seed Aryna Sabalenka will rekindle their rivalry in the semi-finals of the 2024 Cincinnati Open. The winner of this 12th meeting between these two will play Jessica Pegula, Leylah Fernandez, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova or Paula Badosa in the final. Read on for our preview and prediction for this match.

Swiatek has an advantage in this fixture and is a huge favourite to win here. The Pole has won eight times against Sabalenka with two of her wins coming this year. Both victories came in tournament deciders on clay in Rome and Madrid.

Swiatek, who has managed to claim three of her wins in this fixture on hard courts, defeated Mirra Andreeva in the quarter-finals. She won in three sets to claim her 55th victory of the year. The world number one has put up the best record in 2024 and is now just two wins away from a sixth title.

Though she has struggled in this fixture, Aryna Sabalenka has held her own whenever she battled Swiatek on hardcourts. She claimed two of her three wins in this fixture on hardcourts.

With her strong showing in Cincinnati, the world number three will be confident of progressing to the final. An impressive Sabalenka is yet to lose a set in Cincinnati through three matches.

She defeated Liudmila Samsonova in the quarter-finals to progress to her third successive semi-final in this event. This was triumph number 37 of a strong season that has seen her claim 21 wins on hardcourts. Sabalenka has played four tour finals this season, winning the Australian Open for a second successive year.

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The Best Betting Odds for Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 2.5
1xbet
11.7 1.04
22bet
11.7 1.04
Betobet
1.58 2.45
Betwinner
1.54 2.46
Stake
11.75 1.01
Check all Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka odds
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Who will win the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka match is: Iga Swiatek to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka game on 18/08/2024 of the current WTA Cincinnati Open season:

  • Iga Swiatek has a 58.77% chance to win against Aryna Sabalenka according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 11.75.
  • Aryna Sabalenka has a 41.23% probability of winning facing Iga Swiatek ⭐ with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Iga Swiatek has a 58.77 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Iga Swiatek58.77 %
Aryna Sabalenka41.23 %

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Form

Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka Last Matches

Iga Swiatek Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

17 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Mirra Andreeva

16 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Marta Kostyuk

14 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Varvara Gracheva

2 Aug 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Anna Karolína Schmiedlová

1 Aug 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Qinwen Zheng

31 Jul 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament

Iga Swiatek
abort
Danielle Collins
Aryna Sabalenka Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

17 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Liudmila Samsonova

16 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elina Svitolina

15 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  0
Elisabetta Cocciaretto

10 Aug 2024 - WTA National Bank Open

Amanda Anisimova
2 :  0
Aryna Sabalenka

9 Aug 2024 - WTA National Bank Open

Katie Boulter
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

8 Aug 2024 - WTA National Bank Open

Yue Yuan
0 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

Iga Swiatek against Aryna Sabalenka : Head to Head (H2H)

Iga Swiatek

67 %

Aryna Sabalenka

33 %

18 May 2024 - WTA Rome

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Aryna Sabalenka

4 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka

23 Dec 2023 - World Tennis League, Men Singles

Iga Swiatek
0 :  1
Aryna Sabalenka

4 Nov 2023 - WTA Qatar Open

Aryna Sabalenka
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

6 May 2023 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Aryna Sabalenka

23 Apr 2023 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Aryna Sabalenka

Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka Key Points

  1. Swiatek won five of the eight semi-finals she played in 2024.
  2. Sabalenka suffered six of her 11 losses this year on hard courts.
  3. Swiatek has defeated Sabalenka eight times in their 11 encounters.
  4. Two of Swiatek’s eight wins against Sabalenka were achieved in 2024.
  5. A decider was needed in three of the last five matches between these two on hard courts.
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Our Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction

Our prediction for Iga Swiatek v Aryna Sabalenka is for Iga Swiatek to win in three sets. Swiatek has dominated this fixture with Sabalenka, winning eight of their 11 encounters. This year she has already defeated Sabalenka twice. Considering she also made it to most finals in 2024, another victory for the Pole looks likely here.

Swiatek, however, may have to win a deciding third set to progress. Both players are having strong seasons and have done well on hard courts. Their hard-court matchups have also been intense, seeing each player win at least twice.

Prediction :

Iga Swiatek to win in three sets

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Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction
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