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by Joseph King | in NFL Predictions
Only two weeks in the 2024/25 NFL regular season remain as the Houston Texans host the Baltimore Ravens on Christmas Day. The Texans come into this week 17 contest sitting atop the AFC South with a 9-6 record while the Ravens sit second in the AFC North at 10-5. Here’s our match prediction.
The Texans were unable to slow down the red-hot Chiefs when the two teams faced off at Arrowhead Stadium this past Saturday. The 27-19 loss marked an end to a two-game winning streak for Houston.
Houston can rest easy as they have already clinched the playoffs as division winners. However, with four defeats in their last seven games overall, the hosts will be desperate to put another win on the board.
Baltimore now has a chance at taking the AFC North crown following their 34-17 home win over division rivals Pittsburgh last Saturday. The result means that both the Ravens and Steelers are deadlocked with identical records.
While they’ll certainly be gunning for the division crown for the second year in a row, the visitors have already secured a playoff berth.
The Ravens have now won their last two games in a row and three of their last four overall. The visitors have also won their last two road games on the trot so should have plenty of confidence here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Houston Texans v Baltimore Ravens Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.55 | 1.32 |
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3.4 | 1.33 |
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1.88 | 1.65 |
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2.1 | 1.75 |
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2.1 | 1.75 |
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Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Form
Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens's standings in the NFL
Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
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6
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0.706 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 |
15
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0.588 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens Last Matches

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5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
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Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Houston Texans - Baltimore Ravens Key Points
- Houston is 6-7-2 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- Baltimore is 8-6-1 against the spread this season and 5-2 ATS on the road.
- The Ravens lead the NFL in expected points added (EPA) per play at 0.21 while the Texans rank 23rd at -0.06.
- The Texans rank 29th out of 32 in defensive EPA per play (-.10) compared to the Ravens in 13th (0.00).
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Our Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson has the Baltimore pass offense clicking. The Ravens have the ability to blow teams off the field with their turbocharged quarterback and lead the league in pass yards per attempt at 8.6.
Houston are more of a defensive-reliant team which should make for an interesting dynamic on Saturday. With the Ravens coming off a big win over their division rivals and in a good rhythm on the road, we like them to get it done on Christmas Day. Our Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens prediction: Ravens -4.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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