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RUN
BAE
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Sebastian Baez is set to take on Holger Rune in the second round of the Barcelona Open. The two players meet for the sixth time, with the winner progressing to face Hamad Medjedovic or Casper Ruud. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Rune is making a return here four years after he debuted. Back then his journey ended in the first round, so he has actually set a new record at Barcelona by reaching the second round.
The Dane beat wildcard Albert Ramos in straight sets in the first round. The sixth seed at Barcelona hasn’t had a great run in the season. He has compiled a 12-9 record so far, and on clay he is on a losing record.
Baez is a strong player on clay and has shown signs of that already this season, though falling short at times. He comes here having already won one clay title, at Rio de Janeiro during the South American clay season.
The Argentine has a 3-2 head-to-head advantage over Ruud, and all his wins came on clay courts. The world number 35 is coming from a straight-set win over Damir Dzumhur in the first round.
He is making his third appearance in Barcelona and will hope for the first time to go past the second round.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holger Rune v Sebastian Baez Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 2.2 |
|
|
1.67 | 2.12 |
|
|
1.68 | 2.22 |
|
|
1.68 | 2.22 |
|
|
1.73 | 2.11 |
|
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez match is: Sebastian Baez wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez game on 16/04/2025 of the current ATP Barcelona season:
- Holger Rune has a 56.4% chance to win against Sebastian Baez according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
- Sebastian Baez has a 43.6% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 2.22 at 1xbet.
Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 56.4 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 56.4 % |
| Sebastian Baez | 43.6 % |
Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez Form
Holger Rune and Sebastian Baez Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
5 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
4 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
2 Apr 2025 - ATP BCR Open Romania
Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
13 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open
26 Oct 2023 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Holger Rune - Sebastian Baez Key Points
- Baez leads Rune 3-2 in head-to-head numbers.
- All of Baez’s wins against Rune were on clay courts.
- Baez lost just three of his last 15 clay court matches.
- Rune lost three times in his last four clay court matches.
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Our Holger Rune vs Sebastian Baez Prediction
Neither Holger Rune nor Sebastian Baez has ever advanced past the second round in Barcelona. One of them will break that barrier this year. If we were to go with past performances, that will be Baez.
The Argentine has shown great form on clay and also leads Rune on head-to-head numbers. All his wins against Rune, also, came on clay courts. Rune has had his struggles this season and comes here on a run of three losses in four matches. Our prediction for Holger Rune v Sebastian Baez is that Sebastian Baez wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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