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Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Acapulco Open
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Mexican Open fourth seed Holger Rune will begin his campaign in the first round against unseeded Roberto Carballes Baena. This marks their fourth career meeting and the winner will face Benjamin Bonzi or Brandon Nakashima for a quarter-final berth. Below is our prediction for this match.
Rune has made it to the semi-finals in Acapulco for three straight seasons. He has never failed to reach the last four. On his return, he will be eager to go all the way.
He is having an inconsistent season, having compiled a 5-5 record. This shaky form has kept him from returning to the ATP top 10 and is currently down to 14th in the live ranking.
Rune defeated Carballes Baena on grass at Wimbledon two seasons ago.
Roberto Carballes Baena has the head-to-head advantage against Rune, having won twice in their three meetings. His latest victory came in 2023 at the US Open, their only encounter on a hard court.
Though he has lacked consistency as well in 2025, the Spaniard will look to his previous success against Rune for motivation.
Carballes Baena has compiled a 5-6 record and is on a three-match skid.
The 31-year-old is back on hardcourts, where most of his wins have been registered, after a disappointing Golden Swing campaign. Carballes Baena starts in Acapulco as the world number 50.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holger Rune v Roberto Carballes Baena Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.42 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.42 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.36 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.25 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.45 |
|
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena match is: Holger Rune to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena game on 25/02/2025 of the current ATP Acapulco Open season:
- Holger Rune has a 59.05% chance to win against Roberto Carballes Baena according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.32.
- Roberto Carballes Baena has a 40.95% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 59.05 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 59.05 % |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | 40.95 % |
Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Form
Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
6 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
4 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
1 Feb 2025 - Davis Cup
31 Jan 2025 - Davis Cup
19 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
10 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
5 Feb 2025 - Dallas Open
1 Feb 2025 - Davis Cup
16 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
28 Aug 2023 - ATP US Open
7 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Holger Rune - Roberto Carballes Baena Key Points
- Rune has one victory against Carballes Baena.
- Carballes Baena lost four of his last five fixtures.
- Carballes Baena has lost six times in his 11 outings this season.
- Rune has qualified for the Acapulco semi-finals for two straight seasons.
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Our Holger Rune vs Roberto Carballes Baena Prediction
Our prediction for Holger Rune v Roberto Carballes Baena is for Holger Rune to win in three sets. Carballes Baena and Rune are both enduring inconsistent campaigns. This is therefore a match that could go either way given that both players have won previously against one another.
Carballes Baena has the head-to-head advantage but it is Rune whom we consider more likely to win. This is because the Dane has an impressive record at the Mexican Open. Rune made it to the semi-finals both times he competed in Acapulco.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Holger Rune vs. Roberto Carballes Baena game!
When you place a bet on the match between Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Holger Rune or Roberto Carballes Baena , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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