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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Miami Predictions
Reilly Opelka will have another chance to keep rising when he takes on Holger Rune next at the Miami Open. The first meeting between the two will be in the second round in Florida, with the winner facing Matteo Arnaldi or Tomas Machac next. We have a prediction for this match below.
Holger Rune got a bye in the first round and will be looking to go on a deep run here. He is coming from a losing outing in the Indian Wells final, his only defeat in six matches.
Rune starts his fourth appearance at Miami with an 11-7 record for the season. He has never gone past the fourth round.
Opelka is coming here fresh from a straight-set win over former Miami Open quarter-finalist Christopher Eubanks. With that he posted a first win at Miami since 2019, and also a first win at a Masters event since 2000.
His 10th win in Miami unlocked an even tougher challenge at this event. Now the American will be looking to equal his best in Miami, having reached the third round in 2019.
The more impressive news for Opelka is his recovery journey, rising by more than 1000 places over the past two years to his current rank (114).
The former world number 17’s highlight this season was getting to the Brisbane final.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holger Rune v Reilly Opelka Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.36 | 3.2 |
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1.4 | 2.75 |
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1.4 | 3 |
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1.4 | 3 |
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1.43 | 2.94 |
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka match is: Opelka to win a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka game on 22/03/2025 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Holger Rune has a 63.85% chance to win against Reilly Opelka according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.45.
- Reilly Opelka has a 36.15% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 63.85 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Holger Rune | 63.85 % |
Reilly Opelka | 36.15 % |
Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka Form
Holger Rune and Reilly Opelka Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
16 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
20 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
13 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
12 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying
5 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
11 Feb 2025 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Holger Rune - Reilly Opelka Key Points
- Opelka won a set in three of his last five matches.
- Rune dropped a set in three of his last five matches.
- Rune only won in straight sets in six of his last 15 matches.
- In his last 11 matches, Opelka only failed to win a set three times.
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Our Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka Prediction
Opelka’s graph has on average been going up in recent months, but his performances remain inconsistent. While he has graced a final already this season, he has in most events suffered early exits. That includes at Indian Wells, where he was eliminated in the first round.
Here Opelka meets a player with Masters level pedigree and Rune will straight away be the favorite. We can’t, however, rule out Opelka’s fighting spirit. Our prediction for Holger Rune v Reilly Opelka is for Opelka to win a set.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Holger Rune vs. Reilly Opelka game!
When you place a bet on the match between Holger Rune and Reilly Opelka you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Holger Rune or Reilly Opelka , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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