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Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
For the first time in three years there will be a new champion at the BNP Paribas Open! The most unlikely of opponents are set to face off, when British number one Jack Draper takes on Holger Rune in the 2025 Indian Wells final. Let’s have a look at the match preview and a prediction.
This match will mark the second meeting in the two players’ tennis history and also the second on a hardcourt. The earlier one, in 2024, was also in the USA, at the Cincinnati Open. The story of two underdogs facing off in the final is just one side of the coin.
It makes for an interesting read, the type of opposition they overcame in their respective semi-finals on Saturday. Whereas Rune beat Daniil Medvedev, the finalist in the last two editions, Jack Draper dumped out Carlos Alcaraz, the two-time defending champion. Both Draper and Rune were not favorites going into the semi-finals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holger Rune v Jack Draper Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.37 | 1.53 |
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2.52 | 1.58 |
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2.52 | 1.58 |
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2.55 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.55 | 1.53 |
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2.4 | 1.55 |
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2.45 | 1.55 |
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2.5 | 1.55 |
|
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Jack Draper match is: Jack Draper wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Jack Draper game on 16/03/2025 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Holger Rune has a 51.1% chance to win against Jack Draper according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.55.
- Jack Draper has a 48.9% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at 1xbet.
Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 51.1 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 51.1 % |
| Jack Draper | 48.9 % |
Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Form
Holger Rune and Jack Draper Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
12 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
22 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Holger Rune - Jack Draper: Form Analysis
Holger Rune will come into this match pumped up, given his Masters 1000 level experience. He will be looking to wrap up a stunning run like he did at the Paris Masters to shock Novak Djokovic in the championship match.
He has also featured in two more Masters 1000 finals, in Monte Carlo and Rome in 2023. The Dane, who had only managed to reach the quarter-final at Indian Wells before this season, has new ground to cover.
He entered the semi-final against two-time finalist Medvedev as the underdog, but came out as winner in two sets. That win took his record for the season to 11-6 going into the final.
Neither Rune nor Draper had reached the Indian Wells semis before.
Jack Draper is on course for the most significant title of his career and what a way to prepare for his biggest Masters 1000 match. The Brit has been on fire this season and it showed in his win against two-time champion Carlos Alcaraz.
For the first time at Indian Wells this season, Draper was forced to drop a set. This marks the second meeting with Rune in a Masters event and Draper will be burning with revenge. He lost to Rune at the quarters in Cincinnati last year.
With a 2-5 record in championship matches, the Briton may just enter this game with some jitters. However, he has a 12-2 record for the season.
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Holger Rune & Jack Draper Squad Analysis
Holger Rune has Masters 1000 pedigree, having been to three finals, and it will count for much in this match. That, and his speed and movement on the court should be good to trouble Draper in their second meeting at this level. His fiery personality may just win him the crowds in California but a solid backhand gives him an edge here.
Both Draper and Rune are famed for their speed, which will be on display on Sunday.
Jack Draper’s abilities on the ball showed well against Alcaraz, once again. His hard strikes and superior backhand at times gave the two-time defending champions trouble. He is a solid baseliner and will definitely give Rune a run for his money. Having spent considerably less time on the court, compared to his opponent, Draper should feel the stars are aligned in his favor here. Across the last 10 matches, he only lost once.
Holger Rune - Jack Draper Key Points
- Draper has only lost once in his last 10 matches.
- In his previous 10 matches, Rune suffered three defeats.
- Rune spent close to two hours more on the court than Draper at Indian Wells.
- This season, Rune has lost three more matches than Draper.
- Draper has dropped just one set at Indian Wells so far this season.
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Our Holger Rune vs Jack Draper Prediction
Jack Draper has the perfect chance to avenge his loss to Rune in their only previous meeting. He wasn’t at his best mentally back then, after a controversial win in the semis but the Brit looks fully fit this time. In beating Alcaraz, Draper played three sets for the first time at this event.
Still, he has spent considerably less time on the court than Rune – about two hours. Rune might have the advantage at this level, but grueling matches on his way here have drained him a bit. Compared to Draper, he has a slightly inferior record for the season so far. Our prediction for Holger Rune v Jack Draper is that Jack Draper wins the match.
Holger Rune vs Jack Draper - Other Interesting Predictions
Match to have three sets
The first ever meeting between these two players ended in a straight-set win for Rune. We expect this one to last a little longer. These two players have had powerful runs at Indian Wells and after electrifying outings in the semis, we could see the same here. With the form they carry, both players are likely to win at least a set. Therefore, our second prediction is for the match to have three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Holger Rune vs. Jack Draper game!
When you place a bet on the match between Holger Rune and Jack Draper you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Holger Rune or Jack Draper , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
Holger Rune vs Jack Draper match : Frequently asked questions
The Holger Rune v Jack Draper Indian Wells final match will be played on Monday 17th March.
The winner in the Holger Rune v Jack Draper Indian Wells final match takes home US$ 1,201,125.
These two have met once before, and Holger Rune beat Jack Draper 2-0 at the Cincinnati Open in 2024.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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