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Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Daniil Medvedev will take on Holger Rune in the BNP Paribas semi-finals. The fourth meeting between these two will birth the player to challenge Carlos Alcaraz or Jack Draper in the final. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Runner is at Indian Wells for the fifth time and has this year achieved his best run. It has been an uphill journey for the Dane, struggling early in the season and this is a moment to savor.
He rose from losing the first set to beat Tallon Griekspoor 2-1 in the quarters and will be gunning for a second win against Medvedev. His win at the quarters improved his season’s record to 10-6.
Medvedev’s year didn’t start well either but he has improved a lot in terms of mentality and performance. A losing finalist in his last two Indian Wells appearances, the Russian has a perfect chance at revenge.
On the other side of this match, plays the man responsible for his two losses – Carlos Alcaraz. What more motivation would Medvedev need?
He battled under pressure, maintaining composure in the quarters to see off Arthur Fils in three sets. That should have prepared him for the challenge ahead, with an improved record of 12-5 heading here.
On his way to the final last year, Medvedev beat Rune.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holger Rune v Daniil Medvedev Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.37 | 1.53 |
|
|
2.55 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.55 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.49 | 1.56 |
|
|
2.48 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.48 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.48 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.55 | 1.53 |
|
|
2.6 | 1.5 |
|
|
2.6 | 1.5 |
|
|
2.45 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Medvedev to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev game on 15/03/2025 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Holger Rune has a 46.05% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.6.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 53.95% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 46.05 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 46.05 % |
| Daniil Medvedev | 53.95 % |
Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Holger Rune and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
13 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
27 Feb 2025 - ATP Dubai Open
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Dubai Open
Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
14 Mar 2024 - ATP Indian Wells
21 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
14 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Holger Rune - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Medvedev leads Rune 2-1 in head-to-head numbers.
- Rune lost his only previous outdoor hardcourt semi-final.
- Rune has had two three-set matches in his last three outings.
- Medvedev won his only meeting with Rune on a hardcourt.
- Medvedev played to three sets for the first time in the quarters.
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Our Holger Rune vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Our prediction for Holger Rune v Daniil Medvedev is for Medvedev to win in three sets. Holger Rune is the lower ranked player but has shown he is capable of handling the bigwigs. Against Medvedev, he is motivated to avenge back-to-back losses at Masters events, one of them being at Indian Wells and another a final, in Rome.
Medvedev being the stronger player here, will be expected to sail through. His motivation will definitely be to meet Alcaraz in the final for a third time. After both played to three sets in the quarters, we expect the same here as well.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Holger Rune or Daniil Medvedev , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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