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ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 13 Denmark
Holger Rune
16 Apr 2023 08:30
ATP 8 Russia
Andrey Rublev

Prediction :

Over 22.5

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Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Fifth seeded Andrey Rublev bids to win the Monte Carlo Masters for the first time. He takes on the seventh seed Jannik Sinner in the final of this outdoor clay court tournament. Rublev is in his second final in three years but lost the 2021 Monte Carlo Masters final to Stefanos Tsitsipas. The Russian can’t climb any higher than the sixth place he currently holds in the rankings. Even so, winning this title would give him a massive boost on the road to Roland Garros. Rublev is seventh in the Live ATP Race but a win over Rune will see him rise to fifth place. He reached the semi-final for the loss of one set. He lost another one on Saturday though as Taylor Fritz took the opening set. He bounced back well though and only lost four games in the following two sets. Rublev has had two previous meetings with Rune and the score is level at 1-1. Both have been on hard courts with Rublev winning the most recent at this year's Australian Open.

Holger Rune began the Monte Carlo Masters ranked ninth in the world. He’s up to a career high seventh in the live rankings and beating Rublev would see him go up to sixth above his opponent. He's 11th in the ATP Race but winning this title will take him to seventh. Rune is in his first final of the year having lost in the semi-finals in both Acapulco and Montpellier. He’s never previously made it past the second round of this tournament but did reach the last eight at Roland Garros last year. He also won a clay court event held in Bavaria last year as he began his rise up the rankings. This is his fifth ATP Tour final since that win and his second in Masters events, having won the 2022 Paris Masters. Rune has won three matches to get to this final with wins over Dominic Thiem, Daniil Medvedev and in the last four, Jannik Sinner in three sets. He had to come from behind to beat Sinner after winning just one game in the opening set. That was a late finish on Saturday due to the weather and that might just affect him. Back over 22.5 games to be played in the final.

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Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev Form

Holger Rune and Andrey Rublev Last Matches

Holger Rune Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

15 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jannik Sinner
1 :  2
Holger Rune

14 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Holger Rune

13 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Berrettini
withdraw
Holger Rune

12 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Dominic Thiem
0 :  2
Holger Rune

28 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Holger Rune

26 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Diego Sebastián Schwartzman
0 :  2
Holger Rune
Andrey Rublev Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

15 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

14 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Jan-Lennard Struff

13 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Karen Khachanov

11 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Jaume Munar

28 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

14 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Cameron Norrie

Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Holger Rune

50 %

Andrey Rublev

50 %

22 Jan 2023 - ATP Australian Open

Andrey Rublev
3 :  2
Holger Rune

3 Nov 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Holger Rune - Andrey Rublev Key Points

  1. There were over 22.5 games played in Rune's semi-final.
  2. Two of Rublev's matches this week have had over 22.5 games played in them.
  3. Rublev has twice had to go the final set this week.
  4. Their two previous matches have had 7-6 and 7-5 sets so a long final looks likely.
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Our Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

This is a surprise final with none of the top four seeds even making the semi-finals. Andrey Rublev has shown good form this week and is in his second Monte Carlo final in three years. Holger Rune has also impressed with wins over Medvedev and Sinner. Our Holger Rune v Andrey Rublev prediction is for over 22.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

Over 22.5

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Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
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