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Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 16 Bulgaria
Grigor Dimitrov
30/04/2025 13:30
ATP 78 Canada
Gabriel Diallo

Prediction :

 

Dimitrov to win in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Gabriel Diallo’s campaign at the Madrid Masters continues. The qualifier will be up against Grigor Dimitrov in the fourth round, and the winner will face Lorenzo Musetti or Alex De Minaur. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Dimitrov beat Jacob Fearnley in straight sets in the last round. That win stretched his record for the season to 14-7. It also means he is currently the player with the most wins at this year’s Masters events.

This run has seen Dimitrov reach at least the fourth round in the four Masters events so far. He has only lost once at the fourth round in a Masters event this season.

Diallo was handed a second chance at Madrid as a lucky loser, and he has seized it. For the first time in the season, the Canadian has gone past the second round.

This is also his debut at Madrid, and he has the opportunity to write a great story. He has trounced Zizou Bergs, Kamil Majchrzak, and more recently Cameron Norrie to get here.

In that run, Diallo dropped just two sets. In his tour history, Diallo has ever made just one quarter-final appearance, and that was at an ATP 250 event - Almaty. Being here seeking the same at a Masters event is a pointer to his growth.

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The Best Betting Odds for Grigor Dimitrov v Gabriel Diallo Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 3
Ladbrokes
1.4 2.87
NetBet
1.4 2.9
1xbet
1.43 2.84
22bet
1.43 2.84
Check all Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo odds
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Who will win the Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo match is: Dimitrov to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo game on 30/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Grigor Dimitrov has a 63.92% chance to win against Gabriel Diallo according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
  • Gabriel Diallo has a 36.08% probability of winning facing Grigor Dimitrov ⭐ with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.

Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Grigor Dimitrov has a 63.92 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Grigor Dimitrov63.92 %
Gabriel Diallo36.08 %

Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Form

Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo Last Matches

Grigor Dimitrov Last matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Grigor Dimitrov
2 :  0
Nicolás Jarry

11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Grigor Dimitrov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Valentin Vacherot
1 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov

8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Nicolás Jarry
0 :  2
Grigor Dimitrov
Gabriel Diallo Last matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  1
Kamil Majchrzak

24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Zizou Bergs
0 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gabriel Diallo
0 :  2
Borna Ćorić

21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  0
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

13 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Hamad Medjedovic
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo
Compare Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo with our comparison tool.

Grigor Dimitrov - Gabriel Diallo Key Points

  1. Diallo has six losses in seven meetings with top-20 players.
  2. Dimitrov’s two wins in Madrid have been in straight sets.
  3. Diallo’s last nine matches returned four defeats.
  4. Dimitrov won eight of his last 10 matches.
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Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction

Diallo is having a superb run after getting the lucky loser ticket. He will have the chance to test himself against a top player, and against such he has really struggled. In his seven matches against top-20 players, the Madrid debutant suffered six defeats.

This is the first meeting on clay he will have with a top-20 player, and it doesn’t favor him a lot. Dimitrov hasn’t had the best of campaigns, but this should end in victory. Our prediction for Grigor Dimitrov v Gabriel Diallo is for Dimitrov to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Dimitrov to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction
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