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Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Grigor Dimitrov and Carlos Alcaraz are set to go head-to-head at the BNP Paribas Open. This might well be the most anticipated fourth round match as the two meet for the sixth time. We have the preview and a prediction below.
Two-time defending champion Alcaraz has easily sailed past his first two opponents. The latest of them was Denis Shapovalov, who Alcaraz overpowered in straight sets.
He is yet to drop a set at this event, and in 22 matches at Indian Wells, he has 18 wins. The win over Shapovalov has Alacaraz on a 13-2 record for the season and he has already won a title this season – in Rotterdam.
After Shapovalov and Quentin Halys failed, Dimitrov is now the man charged with ensuring we have a new Indian Wells champion. The Bulgarian has beaten Alcaraz in each of their last two meetings and will want to level their head-to-head matchings which currently favor Alcaraz at 3-2.
Dimitrov hasn’t had as smooth a run at Indian Wells as Alcaraz; he dropped one set in the last round as he beat Gael Monfils in the third round.
While it was a thoroughly entertaining match, Dimitrov showed signs of fatigue, having had to play over three hours. Facing Alcaraz who played just under 1.5 hours could take a toll on him.
The 33-year-old has compiled a 5-4 record so far.
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The Best Betting Odds for Grigor Dimitrov v Carlos Alcaraz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6.5 | 1.11 |
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6 | 1.12 |
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6.7 | 1.13 |
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6.7 | 1.13 |
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6.6 | 1.12 |
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6.55 | 1.11 |
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6.55 | 1.11 |
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6.55 | 1.11 |
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7.2 | 1.1 |
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6 | 1.12 |
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6.8 | 1.12 |
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7 | 1.1 |
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6.75 | 1.12 |
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5.5 | 1.14 |
|
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Who will win the Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 12/03/2025 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Grigor Dimitrov has a 29.44% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 7.2.
- Carlos Alcaraz has a 70.56% probability of winning facing Grigor Dimitrov ⭐ with odds of 1.14 at Betfair.
Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Grigor Dimitrov has a 29.44 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Grigor Dimitrov | 29.44 % |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 70.56 % |
Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Form
Grigor Dimitrov and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2025 - ATP Dubai Open
17 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
13 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
3 Jan 2025 - Brisbane International
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
20 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
19 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
17 Feb 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
9 Feb 2025 - ATP Rotterdam
Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
28 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami
11 Oct 2023 - ATP Shanghai Masters
23 Jun 2023 - ATP Finals
30 Apr 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
3 Nov 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters
Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points
- Dimitrov lost four of his last six matches.
- Alcaraz has nine wins in his last 10 matches.
- Half of Alcaraz’s last 10 matches had three sets.
- Alcaraz has beaten Dimitrov three times in their five meetings.
- Dimitrov has spent two more hours on the courts than Alcaraz at Indian Wells.
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Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Our prediction for Grigor Dimitrov v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in three sets. Dimitrov will arrive for this match at a disadvantage. His experience may work for him in the early stages of this game and he may win a set.
In the long run though, coming from a lengthy battle and facing a much younger player could take a toll on him. Alcaraz doesn’t just have age on his side, he has also spent less time on the court, leads in this series and has a fine record at Indian Wells.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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