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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
We head back to the Chase Center on Monday night for Game 4 in the NBA Playoff series between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets. The Warriors beat the Rockets in Game 3 and lead the series 2-1. Let’s get into the match prediction.
If you’ve ever heard the saying, form is temporary but class is permanent - Stephen Curry proved it on Friday night by leading the Warriors to a 104-93 victory and a 2-1 series lead.
With Jimmy Butler sidelined through injury, Curry led Golden State with 36 points. Additionally, Golden State’s bench stepped up big time, contributing 42 points, led by Buddy Hield’s 17 points.
However, the player that really caught the eye was Gary Payton II, who scored nine straight points for his team in the fourth quarter and ended with 16 in 21 minutes on the court.
Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets tried everything to stop Curry in Game 3, including double teams and switching defenders, but all of it went in vain. It also opened up gaps for the likes of Hield and Payton II to exploit.
Additionally, their fixation on stopping Curry seemed to have a negative impact on their own attacking performance, with no Rockets player scoring over 17 points in the match.
Alperen Sengun delivered his worst showing in the series with 15 points, while the Chase Center faithful got under the skin of Dillon Brooks, who had four fouls by halftime, which impacted his playing minutes.
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The Best Betting Odds for Golden State Warriors v Houston Rockets Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.56 | 2.5 |
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1.55 | 2.4 |
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1.56 | 2.39 |
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1.57 | 2.47 |
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1.57 | 2.47 |
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Who will win the Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets match is: Houston Rockets +3.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets game on 28/04/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Golden State Warriors has a 59.69% chance to pick up the win against Houston Rockets according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.59.
- There is a probability of 40.31% ⭐ for Houston Rockets to win vs Golden State Warriors with odds of 2.5 at Bet365.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Form
Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Golden State Warriors - Houston Rockets Key Points
- The Rockets have won three of their last four first-round Playoff games when installed as underdogs.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in four of their last five first-round Playoff games when installed as underdogs.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in their last five games when installed as favourites following a win.
- The Warriors have only covered the spread in three of their last seven games.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Jimmy Butler is still listed as questionable for the Warriors, but the question is, will the Warriors' bench turn up again if he is out? Golden State’s depth has been questionable all season, and the Rockets would have taken plenty of lessons from Game 3 to bring into this one.
Additionally, there is a case to be made that Houston’s fixation on Curry in the last game massively affected their own shooting performance, as they ended with a shot conversion of just 39.5% from the field. This is a massive match for the Rockets, and we’re expecting a response now that their younger players have had a chance to experience the pressure at Chase Center in the Playoffs. Our Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets prediction is Houston Rockets +3.5.
If your team in the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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