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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Joseph King | in Basketball Predictions
The exciting action of the NBA playoffs continues with this first round game five matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors lead the series 3-1 and have a chance to close it out in front of their home fans at the Chase Center. The Nuggets managed to avoid a sweep by winning 126-121 in the last game thanks to 37 points from the potential back-to-back MVP Nikola Jokic. Denver will have to take things one game at a time and ignore the fact that no team has ever come back from being 3-0 down in a playoff series. The oddsmakers don’t have much faith in the Nuggets, listing them as high +9 point underdogs, and clearly expect this veteran Golden State team to take care of business.
This is quite a large point spread for a NBA playoff game with a team facing elimination. Denver’s backs are against the wall here and you can expect them to give the Warriors their best shot as they look to take this series back to Denver for game six. The Nuggets have proven themselves capable of beating this Golden State team by winning three of their four regular season matchups. They also have Nikola Jokic, the 27-year-old Serbian who is arguably the best player on the court for either team, and has the ability to single-handedly win games with his versatility and genius-level passing and court vision. The Warriors are still likely to win this game and advance to the next round but you can expect Denver to keep this one close and make it a competitive game.
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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Form
Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Golden State Warriors - Denver Nuggets Key Points
- With the playoffs and regular season combined, these two teams have a 4-4 record against each other.
- Home favorites of seven or more points are 17-29 against the spread in the playoffs over the last 10 years.
- Favorites of more than five points trying to close out a series are just 7-15-1 against the spread over the last 10 years.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
We’re going to back the Nuggets with the +9 point spread. Historically, teams facing an elimination game tend to keep the game competitive although most of the time still end up losing. We’re likely to see a similar scenario here, as Jokic should be able to do enough to keep this game close. Golden State likely wins the game by a single digit margin and will advance to take on the winner of the Memphis vs Minnesota series.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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