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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Joseph King | in Basketball Predictions
The NBA Western Conference Finals tips off today with the Golden State Warriors hosting the Dallas Mavericks at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors, playing in their first conference finals since the 2019 season and their sixth appearance in the last decade, arrived by way of defeating the upstart Memphis Grizzlies 4-2 in the previous round. They come up against a red hot Dallas team that just disposed of the top-seeded Phoenix Suns 4-3 after a blowout game seven away win. The Mavericks are one step away from their first finals appearance since the 2011 title-winning team led by Mavs legend Dirk Nowitzski. The hosts will enjoy a significant rest advantage coming into this one plus the added benefit of not having to travel as the Warriors have home court advantage over their opponents. Dallas pulled off a terrific upset in the last round but will have to refocus quickly here if they hope to continue their run.
The visiting Mavericks have a lot going against them for game one. Historically, teams do not perform well in the next series after pulling off a game seven win. A record of 32-49 registers at 39%, which is a very understandable trend given how emotionally and physically taxing a seven game series can be on a team. The Warriors will count on their home fans to give them a boost and the Dubs faithful have not disappointed - Golden State’s home record of 31 wins and 10 losses in the regular season was the second best in the entire league. The Warriors tend to start series extremely well and have an extremely impressive winning percentage of 91% in game ones dating back to 2015. A well-rested and focused Warriors team should be able to see off the challenge of a potentially tired Mavericks team.
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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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2/4 (50%)
2/4 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/4 (75%)
1/4 (25%)
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2/3 (67%)
1/3 (33%)
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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Golden State Warriors - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- These two teams met four times in the regular season with Dallas actually taking three wins. Golden State split their home games 1-1 against the Mavs.
- The Warriors have now won eight straight games at home and are unbeaten at the Chase Center in this playoff run.
- The Mavericks were 23-18 on the road in the regular season and are 3-4 in these playoffs.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
We’re going to back the Warriors to get the job done and cover the -4.5 point spread. For all of Luka Doncic’s brilliance in the 2022 playoffs, his Mavericks team are at a significant rest disadvantage having played 13 of 14 possible games so far. This is a very generous line in our eyes as we had this one pegged at Warriors -6.5, providing some solid value on taking the spread. Look for the Dubs to take early control of what should be a fun series.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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