ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Luciano Darderi will be up against Frances Tiafoe in the second round at the Madrid Masters. This match marks the second meeting between these two, with the winner set to face Alexandre Muller or Ugo Humbert. Read on for our prediction.
Darderi started off with a win in straight sets against Quentin Halys. With that he improved his record for the season to 14-10, with 13 of those wins coming on clay surfaces.
Here Darderi has the chance to avenge his loss to Tiafoe in Houston last year. Darderi is marking his second appearance in Madrid after his 2024 debut.
The Italian has failed to go past the second round twice this season, but his highlight was winning the ATP 250 title in Marrakech.
Tiafoe, the 16th seed in Madrid, got a bye from the first round and will hope to do better here. This season he has suffered more second-round defeats than at any other stage – five.
The American only went past the second round three times, and in one of them he had his highlight for the season; a final appearance in Houston.
In his last tournament, Barcelona, Tiafoe was eliminated at the first hurdle and will hope thunder doesn’t strike twice. Three losses in his last four matches also don’t read well on his list, plus he is on a shaky run for the season at 10-9.
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The Best Betting Odds for Frances Tiafoe v Luciano Darderi Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.2 | 1.67 |
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2.1 | 1.7 |
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2.12 | 1.67 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi match is: Luciano Darderi wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi game on 26/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 47.82% chance to win against Luciano Darderi according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.25.
- Luciano Darderi has a 52.18% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 1.75 at Vbet.
Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 47.82 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Frances Tiafoe | 47.82 % |
Luciano Darderi | 52.18 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi Form
Frances Tiafoe and Luciano Darderi Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
16 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
6 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Apr 2024 - ATP Houston
Frances Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Tiafoe has suffered five second-round eliminations this year.
- Tiafoe has a 3-5 record at the Madrid Masters.
- Darderi has eight wins in his last matches.
- Tiafoe lost five times in his last 10 matches.
- Darderi has won three times in his five second-round matches this season.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
Frances Tiafoe seems to be taking too long to recover from his shock at the Houston Open. He hasn’t been impressive since, and last week at Barcelona was a highlight as he lost at the very first hurdle. He also exited the Monte Carlo Masters early, so any jitters here would be understandable.
He faces a strong clay court player in Darderi. The Italian has only lost once in the last nine matches on clay and has a better record for the year, including a title. Our prediction for Frances Tiafoe v Luciano Darderi is that Luciano Darderi wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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