ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
For the second time in their careers, Frances Tiafoe and Alexandre Muller are set to face off. This time they meet in the third round at the Madrid Masters, with the winner lined up to meet Matteo Arnaldi or Damir Dzumhur. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Tiafoe, the 16th seed, holds the head-to-head advantage, having beaten Muller at Acapulco in February. The American will hope that is the stepping stone for a deep run here, having struggled to stay consistent.
In the last 16 tournaments he has participated in, Tiafoe played more than two matches just once. In the last round here, his opponent, Luciano Darderi, retired during the second set.
While Tiafoe’s second-round match lasted just over one hour, Muller needed 2.5 hours to beat Ugo Humbert in three sets. The fact that the Frenchman started from the first round means he has spent even more time on the court.
With two wins in Madrid, Muller has risen past his early elimination from Munich. While largely he has struggled, this season he’s had two major highlights.
He lifted the Hong Kong title and then advanced to the Rio de Janeiro final. In his last six tour events before Madrid, Muller failed to go past two rounds.
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The Best Betting Odds for Frances Tiafoe v Alexandre Muller Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.67 | 2.2 |
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1.65 | 2.15 |
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1.63 | 2.2 |
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1.68 | 2.2 |
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1.68 | 2.2 |
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller match is: match to have three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller game on 28/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 60.72% chance to win against Alexandre Muller according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
- Alexandre Muller has a 39.28% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 2.27 at Betobet.
Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 60.72 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Frances Tiafoe | 60.72 % |
Alexandre Muller | 39.28 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Form
Frances Tiafoe and Alexandre Muller Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Munich Open
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Frances Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller Key Points
- Muller lost at least a set in each of his last four outings.
- Three of Tiafoe’s last four fixtures had three sets played.
- Muller failed to win a set in just three of the last 10 games.
- In five of his last nine matches, Tiafoe dropped at least a set.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alexandre Muller Prediction
In their recent matches, these two players have struggled a bit. Winning more than two matches at a competition has been quite challenging for both players. None is quite the favorite coming here, while they have the potential to go on deep runs in any competition, as seen earlier in the season.
Tiafoe leads in the head-to-head numbers, but Muller has the potential to level things. As neither has had a smooth run lately, we could see this match going the distance. Our prediction for Frances Tiafoe v Alexandre Muller is, therefore, for the match to have three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexandre Muller game!
When you place a bet on the match between Frances Tiafoe and Alexandre Muller you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Frances Tiafoe or Alexandre Muller , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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