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ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 29 Canada
Felix Auger Aliassime
05 May 2024 12:30
ATP 8 Russia
Andrey Rublev

Prediction :

 

Andrey Rublev wins the match

 
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Seventh seed Andrey Rublev takes on unseeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final of the Madrid Masters. Rublev has already beaten the two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz on his way to the final of this outdoor clay court tournament. Felix Auger-Aliassime has been struggling for form and slipped down the rankings. The last few weeks have seen a bit of a revival now and some good fortune as he bids to win this title for the first time.

The Best Betting Odds for Felix Auger Aliassime v Andrey Rublev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 1.33
NetBet
3.05 1.34
Betwinner
2.98 1.39
LSbet
2.98 1.39
Melbet
3.24 1.34
Tonybet
3.2 1.36
Betway
2.4 1.55
Betfair
1.73 2.1
Betsson
3.2 1.35
Check all Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev odds
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev game on 05/05/2024 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Felix Auger Aliassime has a 36.54% chance to win against Andrey Rublev according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.4.
  • Andrey Rublev has a 63.46% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 2.1 at Betfair.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 36.54 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Felix Auger Aliassime36.54 %
Andrey Rublev63.46 %

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Form

Felix Auger Aliassime and Andrey Rublev Last Matches

Felix Auger Aliassime Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

3 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
abort
Jiri Lehecka

2 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner
withdraw
Felix Auger Aliassime

30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

29 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jakub Mensik
abort
Felix Auger Aliassime

27 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

25 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Yoshihito Nishioka
1 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime
Andrey Rublev Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

3 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

1 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

28 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

26 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Facundo Bagnis

16 Apr 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Andrey Rublev

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Felix Auger Aliassime

0 %

Andrey Rublev

100 %

14 Feb 2024 - ATP Rotterdam

Felix Auger Aliassime
1 :  2
Andrey Rublev

20 Feb 2022 - ATP Marseille

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  2
Andrey Rublev

Felix Auger Aliassime - Andrey Rublev: Form Analysis

Both of these players are in their first Madrid Masters final. Andrey Rublev is the sixth seed and hadn't made it past the last eight of this tournament before this year. He's seventh in the live rankings but will climb up to sixth if winning this match. The Russian had been struggling for form in the lead up to this tournament. He'd lost four matches in a row, including his first two of the European clay court season. He's rediscovered his form though and has only dropped one set on his way to this final. That was in round four where he came from a set down to get past second seed and defending champion Carlos Alcaraz. He followed that up with a straight sets win over Taylor Fritz in the semi-finals. Rublev leads Auger-Aliassime 4-1 in previous meetings. Only one of those matches was played on clay. That was in 2018 and won by Rublev in three sets. 

Felix Auger-Aliassime had been battling to secure a top 32 place and get back into the seedings. Those worries are in the past now as he's up to 20th in the live rankings.That's a rise of 15 places and if he wins this title on Sunday he'll rise to 17th. It wouldn't be cruel to say that the Canadian has had his fair share of luck on his way to this final. He had to come from a set down to beat Yoshihito Nishioka in the first round. Then he beat 19th seed Adrian Mannarino in straight sets. Round three saw him win the first set against unseeded Jakub Mensik who then retired after losing the first game of the second set. The fifth seeded Casper Ruud was beaten in round four. That took him into a quarter-final against top seed Jannik Sinner who withdrew due to injury. In the last four, he was 3-3 in the first set with Jiri Lehecka when his opponent retired. Rublev will be hoping he can stay fit in this match and we tip him to win.

Felix Auger Aliassime & Andrey Rublev Squad Analysis

Both players have no injury worries ahead of this final.

Felix Auger Aliassime - Andrey Rublev Key Points

  1. Rublev was ranked 29 places above Auger-Aliassime at the start of this tournament.
  2. Rublev has only dropped one set on his way to this final.
  3. Rublev leads Auger-Aliassime 4-1 in previous meetings.
  4. Rublev won the only previous match between these two players that was played on clay.
  5. Auger-Aliassime was down at 40th in the Live ATP Race when this tournament began with Rublev 13th.

Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Both of these players have rediscovered their form in recent weeks. Rublev had lost four matches in a row but has made it to the final in Madrid for the loss of only one set and that was to Carlos Alcaraz. Felix Auger-Aliassime got to the last eight in Munich and has followed that up with this run to the final. It's been a bit fortunate though with one opponent withdrawing and two retiring during the match. Our main prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime v Andrey Rublev is a win for Andrey Rublev.

Prediction :

 

Andrey Rublev wins the match

 
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 0.5 tie-breaks to be played

Odds 1
All five previous matches played between these two players have seen a tie-break played.
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev match : Frequently asked questions

This Madrd Masters final is due to be played on Sunday May 5 with a start-time of 15:30.

The Madrid Masters final is being played at thePark Manzanares in Madrid, Spain. 

UK viewers need to tune into Sky Sports Tennis to watch this game live. They will need a monthly subscription or have a NOW TV Day Pass. You can follow the action in this final by going to our Madrid Masters livescore with live text commentary and all the updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

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