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England vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matchs
by Devesh Jaganath | in Rugby Predictions
The iconic Twickenham Stadium will burst into life on Saturday afternoon when world champions South Africa arrive to face England in the Autumn Nations Series. The Red Rose slipped to seventh place in the world rankings last week, while the Springboks moved back to the summit of the standings. Check out our match prediction below.
This is a rivalry that dates all the way back to 1906, and during that time South Africa have been the more successful nation, winning 28 of the 46 encounters between the sides, while England have won 16 and two games ended level. The last time these familiar foes crossed paths was at the semi-final of the 2023 Rugby World Cup in France, where the Springboks claimed a one-point victory en route to the title.
Bookmakers have priced the visitors as the clear favourites in this match, but England will be out for revenge here and will have the best part of the expected 60,000+ in attendance roaring them on to victory. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for England v South Africa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.2 | 21 | 1.36 |
|
|
3.04 | 17 | 1.42 |
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|
3.04 | 17 | 1.42 |
|
|
3.1 | 20 | 1.44 |
|
|
3.12 | 20 | 1.41 |
|
|
3.3 | 21 | 1.37 |
|
|
3.14 | 21 | 1.41 |
|
|
3.3 | 21 | 1.38 |
|
|
3.05 | 26 | 1.41 |
|
|
3.3 | 34 | 1.36 |
|
|
3.15 | 19 | 1.4 |
|
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England vs South Africa Form
England and South Africa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
6 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
22 Jun 2024 - Test Matchs
16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
2 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
9 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
25 Feb 2024 - Test Matchs
10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations
21 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
6 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
22 Jun 2024 - Test Matchs
16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
24 Feb 2024 - Six Nations
3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship
21 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship
7 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship
31 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship
17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship
7 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship
31 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship
20 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
13 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
6 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
21 Sep 2024 - The Rugby Championship
17 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship
10 Aug 2024 - The Rugby Championship
28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
21 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
England vs South Africa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
21 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
26 Nov 2022 - Test Matchs
20 Nov 2021 - Test Matchs
2 Nov 2019 - Rugby World Cup
England - South Africa: Form Analysis
England kicked off their year-end international last weekend at this venue but suffered a disappointing 42-37 defeat against Australia, who have been far from their best of late.
That result marked the Red Rose’s fourth loss in a row following three on the bounce against New Zealand, while they have only managed two wins in their last eight dating back to the Six Nations.
Notably, though, of the last six defeats the hosts have suffered, five of them were by seven points or less, while three were by fewer than three points.
Three of the last five matches between these sides have been decided by one point!
Meanwhile, South Africa made the trip to Murrayfield in their opening match of the Autumn Nations Series last week and knocked over Scotland 32-15.
With that victory, the Springboks have now recorded eight wins from their last 10 matches, a period during which they also secured the 2024 Rugby Championship title.
While England dominated this fixture at this venue in the early 2000s, the Boks have now won six of their last 10 visits to Twickenham Stadium since November 2006. Their most recent matchup ended in a 27-13 victory at the end of 2022.
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Players list
Substitutes
England & South Africa Squad Analysis
Steve Borthwick announced his squad for this match earlier in the week and opted for four changes to the side that lost to the Wallabies last time out.
Ollie Sleightholme, Jack van Poortvliet, Freddie Steward and Sam Underhill are the players that have been brought into the team, while Immanuel Feyi-Waboso, Tom Curry, Ben Spencer and George Furbank have been left out.
Rassie Erasmus, meanwhile, has made a total of 12 changes to the Springboks for this match!
The only players who have retained their place from last week’s squad that beat the Scots are Eben Etzebeth, Ox Nche and Bongi Mbonambi.
Notably, Manie Libbok has been given the number 10 jersey in place of Handre Pollard and a surprise selection sees Wilco Louw brought into the Boks pack at number three.
In the backfield, Cheslin Kolbe and Kurt-Lee Arendse will line up on the flanks, while Damian de Allende and Jesse Kriel will resume their partnership in the centre of the park.
England - South Africa Key Points
- South Africa have won eight of their last 10 games.
- South Africa's last seven wins were by four or more points.
- South Africa have won three of their last four matches against this opponent.
- England are on a four-match losing streak.
- England have lost two of their last four games by four or more points.
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Our England vs South Africa Prediction
South Africa will arrive at Twickenham in very high spirits after making fairly light work of Scotland last week, despite sending out a second-string side that were quite a long way from their best form.
England, on the other hand, were left stunned by Australia and are now on a four-match losing streak and have only beaten Japan since the mid-year internationals. We are expecting a close contest but fancy the Springboks to win by at least four points. Our England vs South Africa prediction: South Africa -3.5!
England vs South Africa - Other Interesting Predictions
England + 10.5
While we are expecting an away win here, we do not think it will be by a huge margin. England have not lost a match by 10 or more points since a 29-10 defeat against Ireland in August 2023.
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England vs South Africa match : Frequently asked questions
The Autumn Nations Series match between England and South Africa will be played on November 16 at 17:40 GMT.
The Autumn Nations Series match between England and South Africa will take place at Twickenham Stadium in London.
The Autumn Nations Series match between England and South Africa will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK and on DSTV’s Supersport in South Africa.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the Rugby Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Andrew Brace will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Chris Busby, Eoghan Cross and Ben Whitehouse as the TMO.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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