WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
21st seed Ekaterina Alexandrova has made a confident start to the new clay court season. In round three of the Madrid Open, she takes on the 14th seed Daria Kasatkina. Here's our match prediction.
The winner goes into the last 16 where they will face either third seed Jessica Pegula or unseeded Moyuka Uchijima. Alexandrova is up to 21st in the live rankings but is doing far better in the WTA Race and is in eighth position.
The 30-year-old has won one indoor hard court title and reached three other semi-finals. Of those appearances in the last four, two have been on clay at Charleston and Stuttgart. Wins on clay this year include beating Jessica Pegula, Mirra Andreeva and Qinwen Zheng.
So far this week in Madrid, Alexandrova has beaten recent Rouen finalist Olga Danilovic in straight sets.
World number 14 Daria Kasatkina is only 23rd in the WTA Race. Now an Australian, the 27-year-old has won 11 of her 20 matches played this year with just one quarter-final reached. On clay courts, Kasatkina lost in round two in Charleston.
This week has seen her defeat Alycia Parks in straight sets. Kasatkina leads her opponent 3-2 in previous meetings but this is their first clay court match.
We tip Alexandrova to win this.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ekaterina Alexandrova v Daria Kasatkina Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.62 | 2.3 |
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1.57 | 2.25 |
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1.58 | 2.25 |
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1.64 | 2.27 |
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1.64 | 2.27 |
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Who will win the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina match is: Ekaterina Alexandrova to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina game on 27/04/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 49.79% chance to win against Daria Kasatkina according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.64.
- Daria Kasatkina has a 50.21% probability of winning facing Ekaterina Alexandrova ⭐ with odds of 2.31 at Betobet.
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ekaterina Alexandrova has a 49.79 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Ekaterina Alexandrova | 49.79 % |
Daria Kasatkina | 50.21 % |
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Daria Kasatkina Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
17 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
15 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
5 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
2 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
20 Mar 2025 - WTA Miami
10 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
8 Mar 2025 - WTA Indian Wells
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
13 Aug 2024 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Daria Kasatkina Key Points
- Only seven players have earned more ranking points this year than Alexandrova.
- Alexandrova has already reached two clay court quarter-finals in recent weeks.
- Alexandrova has defeated three top ten ranked players on clay this year.
- Kasatkina has only reached one quarter-final this year. That was in January and on a hard court.
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Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction
Ekaterina Alexandrova has been having a highly consistent 2025 and that can continue in Madrid. The Russian has already reached two clay court quarter-finals and defeated three of the top ten ranked players in the world.
Already this week she has beaten Olga Danilovic who was the losing finalist in Rouen last weekend. Daria Kasatkina has nowhere near that level of consistency in 2025 with one quarter-final reached three months ago.
Our Ekaterina Alexandrova v Daria Kasatkina prediction is Ekaterina Alexandrova to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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